The Pará Senate race features two seats elected via a dual-vote system on October 4, 2026, with recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys showing Helder Barbalho (MDB) leading first place while a fragmented group contends for second. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) holding the strongest positions amid 20-30% undecided or blank responses and technical ties among Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and others. High volatility stems from late candidate registrations, shifting alliances, regional voter blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Further polling consolidation, campaign events, or endorsements in the final weeks could consolidate support behind one or two names and shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 43%
Zequinha Marinho 38%
Celso Sabino 16%
Helder 3.9%
$21,958 Vol.
$21,958 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro
43%

Zequinha Marinho
38%

Celso Sabino
16%

Helder
4%

Fernanda Lopes
3%

Edlaine Rodrigues
2%

Conti
2%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Chicão
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%

Breno Guimarães
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 43%
Zequinha Marinho 38%
Celso Sabino 16%
Helder 3.9%
$21,958 Vol.
$21,958 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro
43%

Zequinha Marinho
38%

Celso Sabino
16%

Helder
4%

Fernanda Lopes
3%

Edlaine Rodrigues
2%

Conti
2%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Chicão
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%

Breno Guimarães
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará Senate race features two seats elected via a dual-vote system on October 4, 2026, with recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys showing Helder Barbalho (MDB) leading first place while a fragmented group contends for second. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) holding the strongest positions amid 20-30% undecided or blank responses and technical ties among Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and others. High volatility stems from late candidate registrations, shifting alliances, regional voter blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Further polling consolidation, campaign events, or endorsements in the final weeks could consolidate support behind one or two names and shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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