Recent late-August polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Tocantins, while the contest for second remains fragmented. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail closely behind in vote intentions, with Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão further back amid high undecided and null responses. With voters selecting two candidates on October 4 and roughly half the electorate still open to shifts, party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum through September could reorder the middle of the field. Traders price the race for second place as highly competitive, reflecting this volatility and the absence of a dominant challenger.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGaguim 36.4%
Alexandre Guimarães 36%
Eduardo Gomes 22.4%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 5%
$20,670 Vol.
$20,670 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gaguim
36%
Alexandre Guimarães
36%
Eduardo Gomes
22%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
5%
Eli Borges
2%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Gaguim 36.4%
Alexandre Guimarães 36%
Eduardo Gomes 22.4%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 5%
$20,670 Vol.
$20,670 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gaguim
$2,429 Vol.
36%
Alexandre Guimarães
$11,164 Vol.
36%
Eduardo Gomes
$764 Vol.
22%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$333 Vol.
5%
Eli Borges
$334 Vol.
2%
Paulo Mourão
$3,763 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$282 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$293 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$243 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$236 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$265 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$325 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$240 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Tocantins, while the contest for second remains fragmented. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail closely behind in vote intentions, with Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão further back amid high undecided and null responses. With voters selecting two candidates on October 4 and roughly half the electorate still open to shifts, party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum through September could reorder the middle of the field. Traders price the race for second place as highly competitive, reflecting this volatility and the absence of a dominant challenger.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$20,670End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Tocantins, while the contest for second remains fragmented. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail closely behind in vote intentions, with Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão further back amid high undecided and null responses. With voters selecting two candidates on October 4 and roughly half the electorate still open to shifts, party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum through September could reorder the middle of the field. Traders price the race for second place as highly competitive, reflecting this volatility and the absence of a dominant challenger.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,670End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent late-August polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Tocantins, while the contest for second remains fragmented. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail closely behind in vote intentions, with Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão further back amid high undecided and null responses. With voters selecting two candidates on October 4 and roughly half the electorate still open to shifts, party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum through September could reorder the middle of the field. Traders price the race for second place as highly competitive, reflecting this volatility and the absence of a dominant challenger.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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