Recent polls from Quaest and Datafolha show Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead in Senate vote intentions amid a crowded field of 16 candidates for two seats, with high shares of undecided voters and blanks sustaining fragmentation. Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trail closely in technical ties, reflecting right-wing vote splitting after candidate withdrawals and party negotiations. The official campaign launch in mid-August has not yet consolidated preferences, leaving room for shifts from alliances, turnout in key regions, or late endorsements. Trader consensus reflects Benedita's polling edge for first place while recognizing how further right consolidation or mobilization could narrow gaps before October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBenedita da Silva 59%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Marcelo Crivella 5.2%
Carlos Portinho 4.9%
$32,652 Vol.
$32,652 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Benedita da Silva
59%
Carlos Jordy
14%
Marcelo Crivella
8%
Carlos Portinho
5%
Pedro Paulo
3%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Monica Benicio
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Waguinho
<1%
Benedita da Silva 59%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Marcelo Crivella 5.2%
Carlos Portinho 4.9%
$32,652 Vol.
$32,652 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Benedita da Silva
$10,409 Vol.
59%
Carlos Jordy
$7,756 Vol.
14%
Marcelo Crivella
$1,883 Vol.
8%
Carlos Portinho
$2,542 Vol.
5%
Pedro Paulo
$1,764 Vol.
3%
Paula Falcão
$845 Vol.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,252 Vol.
<1%
André Monteiro
$816 Vol.
<1%
Helio Secco
$490 Vol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$375 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$763 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$887 Vol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$671 Vol.
<1%
Monica Benicio
$843 Vol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$649 Vol.
<1%
Waguinho
$707 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Datafolha show Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead in Senate vote intentions amid a crowded field of 16 candidates for two seats, with high shares of undecided voters and blanks sustaining fragmentation. Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trail closely in technical ties, reflecting right-wing vote splitting after candidate withdrawals and party negotiations. The official campaign launch in mid-August has not yet consolidated preferences, leaving room for shifts from alliances, turnout in key regions, or late endorsements. Trader consensus reflects Benedita's polling edge for first place while recognizing how further right consolidation or mobilization could narrow gaps before October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$32,652End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Datafolha show Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead in Senate vote intentions amid a crowded field of 16 candidates for two seats, with high shares of undecided voters and blanks sustaining fragmentation. Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trail closely in technical ties, reflecting right-wing vote splitting after candidate withdrawals and party negotiations. The official campaign launch in mid-August has not yet consolidated preferences, leaving room for shifts from alliances, turnout in key regions, or late endorsements. Trader consensus reflects Benedita's polling edge for first place while recognizing how further right consolidation or mobilization could narrow gaps before October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,652End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Quaest and Datafolha show Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead in Senate vote intentions amid a crowded field of 16 candidates for two seats, with high shares of undecided voters and blanks sustaining fragmentation. Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trail closely in technical ties, reflecting right-wing vote splitting after candidate withdrawals and party negotiations. The official campaign launch in mid-August has not yet consolidated preferences, leaving room for shifts from alliances, turnout in key regions, or late endorsements. Trader consensus reflects Benedita's polling edge for first place while recognizing how further right consolidation or mobilization could narrow gaps before October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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