Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the Tocantins Senate race, consistent with his lead in recent polls including Real Time Big Data (26% combined first and second preferences) and earlier Paraná Pesquisas surveys. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from name recognition and party infrastructure in a contest where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats, with the top two advancing on October 4. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in stimulated scenarios, while most other names remain fragmented below 10%. High undecided rates in spontaneous polling and limited late-cycle shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Gomes as the frontrunner, though vote splitting and turnout dynamics among the remaining field could still influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Gomes 65%
Gaguim 21.1%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.5%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$22,840 Vol.
$22,840 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
65%
Gaguim
21%
Alexandre Guimarães
11%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 65%
Gaguim 21.1%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.5%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$22,840 Vol.
$22,840 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$13,851 Vol.
65%
Gaguim
$1,140 Vol.
21%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,028 Vol.
11%
Paulo Mourão
$591 Vol.
1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$600 Vol.
<1%
Eli Borges
$541 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$611 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$533 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$611 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$628 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$646 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$503 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the Tocantins Senate race, consistent with his lead in recent polls including Real Time Big Data (26% combined first and second preferences) and earlier Paraná Pesquisas surveys. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from name recognition and party infrastructure in a contest where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats, with the top two advancing on October 4. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in stimulated scenarios, while most other names remain fragmented below 10%. High undecided rates in spontaneous polling and limited late-cycle shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Gomes as the frontrunner, though vote splitting and turnout dynamics among the remaining field could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$22,840End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the Tocantins Senate race, consistent with his lead in recent polls including Real Time Big Data (26% combined first and second preferences) and earlier Paraná Pesquisas surveys. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from name recognition and party infrastructure in a contest where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats, with the top two advancing on October 4. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in stimulated scenarios, while most other names remain fragmented below 10%. High undecided rates in spontaneous polling and limited late-cycle shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Gomes as the frontrunner, though vote splitting and turnout dynamics among the remaining field could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,840End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the Tocantins Senate race, consistent with his lead in recent polls including Real Time Big Data (26% combined first and second preferences) and earlier Paraná Pesquisas surveys. As the incumbent seeking re-election, he benefits from name recognition and party infrastructure in a contest where voters select two candidates for the state's two seats, with the top two advancing on October 4. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trail as the clearest challengers in stimulated scenarios, while most other names remain fragmented below 10%. High undecided rates in spontaneous polling and limited late-cycle shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Gomes as the frontrunner, though vote splitting and turnout dynamics among the remaining field could still influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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