Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 83% trader consensus for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent AtlasIntel, Doxa, and Quaest polls showing him at 24-27% consolidated intentions ahead of Éder Mauro (PL) and others. As outgoing governor with strong MDB backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter familiarity in the dual-seat contest scheduled for October 4, 2026. The fragmented field among challengers like Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), all polling in the low-to-mid teens, reinforces his positioning as the top vote-getter. High undecided shares and the two-vote system introduce some uncertainty but have not shifted the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelder 83%
Delegado Éder Mauro 6.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.6%
Zequinha Marinho 4.0%
$11,059 Vol.
$11,059 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
83%
Delegado Éder Mauro
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
7%
Zequinha Marinho
4%
Gizelle Freitas
3%
Fernanda Lopes
3%
Conti
1%
Chicão
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Breno Guimarães
<1%
Celso Sabino
<1%
Helder 83%
Delegado Éder Mauro 6.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 6.6%
Zequinha Marinho 4.0%
$11,059 Vol.
$11,059 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$6,778 Vol.
83%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$535 Vol.
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$349 Vol.
7%
Zequinha Marinho
$464 Vol.
4%
Gizelle Freitas
$330 Vol.
3%
Fernanda Lopes
$549 Vol.
3%
Conti
$496 Vol.
1%
Chicão
$433 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$339 Vol.
<1%
Breno Guimarães
$342 Vol.
<1%
Celso Sabino
$444 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 83% trader consensus for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent AtlasIntel, Doxa, and Quaest polls showing him at 24-27% consolidated intentions ahead of Éder Mauro (PL) and others. As outgoing governor with strong MDB backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter familiarity in the dual-seat contest scheduled for October 4, 2026. The fragmented field among challengers like Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), all polling in the low-to-mid teens, reinforces his positioning as the top vote-getter. High undecided shares and the two-vote system introduce some uncertainty but have not shifted the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,059End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 83% trader consensus for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent AtlasIntel, Doxa, and Quaest polls showing him at 24-27% consolidated intentions ahead of Éder Mauro (PL) and others. As outgoing governor with strong MDB backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter familiarity in the dual-seat contest scheduled for October 4, 2026. The fragmented field among challengers like Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), all polling in the low-to-mid teens, reinforces his positioning as the top vote-getter. High undecided shares and the two-vote system introduce some uncertainty but have not shifted the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,059End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 83% trader consensus for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent AtlasIntel, Doxa, and Quaest polls showing him at 24-27% consolidated intentions ahead of Éder Mauro (PL) and others. As outgoing governor with strong MDB backing and name recognition, he benefits from voter familiarity in the dual-seat contest scheduled for October 4, 2026. The fragmented field among challengers like Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), all polling in the low-to-mid teens, reinforces his positioning as the top vote-getter. High undecided shares and the two-vote system introduce some uncertainty but have not shifted the market's assessment of his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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