Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her extensive executive experience as a four-term former governor, prior Senate service, and high name recognition tied to the state's longstanding Sarney political network. A late-August Quaest survey showed her leading combined Senate vote intentions at 16 percent, ahead in a technical tie among the top five contenders amid 27 percent undecided voters, while her July candidacy launch following cancer treatment and alignment with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket and Weverton Rocha's reelection bid reinforced her visibility. Other candidates, including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama, trail in recent polling with fragmented support across 11 total contenders for the two seats, sustaining trader consensus around Sarney's frontrunner status ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 68%
Lahesio Bonfim 10.1%
Weverton Rocha 5.0%
Fufuca 3.3%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
68%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Weverton Rocha
5%
Fufuca
9%
Wilson Leite
2%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Roseana Sarney 68%
Lahesio Bonfim 10.1%
Weverton Rocha 5.0%
Fufuca 3.3%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$8,024 Vol.
68%
Lahesio Bonfim
$436 Vol.
10%
Weverton Rocha
$1,990 Vol.
5%
Fufuca
$278 Vol.
9%
Wilson Leite
$255 Vol.
2%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$253 Vol.
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$148 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$255 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$259 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$228 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$233 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her extensive executive experience as a four-term former governor, prior Senate service, and high name recognition tied to the state's longstanding Sarney political network. A late-August Quaest survey showed her leading combined Senate vote intentions at 16 percent, ahead in a technical tie among the top five contenders amid 27 percent undecided voters, while her July candidacy launch following cancer treatment and alignment with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket and Weverton Rocha's reelection bid reinforced her visibility. Other candidates, including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama, trail in recent polling with fragmented support across 11 total contenders for the two seats, sustaining trader consensus around Sarney's frontrunner status ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$12,360End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her extensive executive experience as a four-term former governor, prior Senate service, and high name recognition tied to the state's longstanding Sarney political network. A late-August Quaest survey showed her leading combined Senate vote intentions at 16 percent, ahead in a technical tie among the top five contenders amid 27 percent undecided voters, while her July candidacy launch following cancer treatment and alignment with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket and Weverton Rocha's reelection bid reinforced her visibility. Other candidates, including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama, trail in recent polling with fragmented support across 11 total contenders for the two seats, sustaining trader consensus around Sarney's frontrunner status ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,360End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her extensive executive experience as a four-term former governor, prior Senate service, and high name recognition tied to the state's longstanding Sarney political network. A late-August Quaest survey showed her leading combined Senate vote intentions at 16 percent, ahead in a technical tie among the top five contenders amid 27 percent undecided voters, while her July candidacy launch following cancer treatment and alignment with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket and Weverton Rocha's reelection bid reinforced her visibility. Other candidates, including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama, trail in recent polling with fragmented support across 11 total contenders for the two seats, sustaining trader consensus around Sarney's frontrunner status ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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