Recent Quaest polling released August 25 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate field with high undecideds at 27% and technical ties among five names for the two seats, where voters cast dual ballots in the October 4 first-round contest. Fufuca, Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Eliziane Gama cluster tightly behind Roseana Sarney in consolidated preferences, reflecting divided support across party alliances tied to gubernatorial races and limited name recognition for most contenders. This structure sustains close market pricing for second place by keeping multiple viable paths open until late shifts in turnout or coalition consolidation occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Lahesio Bonfim 25.2%
Roseana Sarney 14%
$28,112 Vol.
$28,112 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
27%
Weverton Rocha
26%
Lahesio Bonfim
25%
Roseana Sarney
14%
Eliziane Gama
13%
Raimundo Moreira
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Lahesio Bonfim 25.2%
Roseana Sarney 14%
$28,112 Vol.
$28,112 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
$5,006 Vol.
27%
Weverton Rocha
$10,305 Vol.
26%
Lahesio Bonfim
$1,492 Vol.
25%
Roseana Sarney
$7,142 Vol.
14%
Eliziane Gama
$1,302 Vol.
13%
Raimundo Moreira
$431 Vol.
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
$483 Vol.
4%
Wilson Leite
$443 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$423 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$568 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling released August 25 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate field with high undecideds at 27% and technical ties among five names for the two seats, where voters cast dual ballots in the October 4 first-round contest. Fufuca, Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Eliziane Gama cluster tightly behind Roseana Sarney in consolidated preferences, reflecting divided support across party alliances tied to gubernatorial races and limited name recognition for most contenders. This structure sustains close market pricing for second place by keeping multiple viable paths open until late shifts in turnout or coalition consolidation occur.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$28,112End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling released August 25 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate field with high undecideds at 27% and technical ties among five names for the two seats, where voters cast dual ballots in the October 4 first-round contest. Fufuca, Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Eliziane Gama cluster tightly behind Roseana Sarney in consolidated preferences, reflecting divided support across party alliances tied to gubernatorial races and limited name recognition for most contenders. This structure sustains close market pricing for second place by keeping multiple viable paths open until late shifts in turnout or coalition consolidation occur.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,112End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling released August 25 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate field with high undecideds at 27% and technical ties among five names for the two seats, where voters cast dual ballots in the October 4 first-round contest. Fufuca, Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Eliziane Gama cluster tightly behind Roseana Sarney in consolidated preferences, reflecting divided support across party alliances tied to gubernatorial races and limited name recognition for most contenders. This structure sustains close market pricing for second place by keeping multiple viable paths open until late shifts in turnout or coalition consolidation occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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