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Politics·Greece

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Greece?
Politics·Greece

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

Kyriakos Mitsotakis 79%

Alexis Tsipras 8.3%

Dimitris Koutsoumbas 5.7%

Yanis Varoufakis 5.1%

Polymarket

$22,123 Vol.

Kyriakos Mitsotakis 79%

Alexis Tsipras 8.3%

Dimitris Koutsoumbas 5.7%

Yanis Varoufakis 5.1%

Polymarket

$22,123 Vol.

icon for Kyriakos Mitsotakis

Kyriakos Mitsotakis

$15,918 Vol.

79%

icon for Alexis Tsipras

Alexis Tsipras

$845 Vol.

8%

icon for Dimitris Koutsoumbas

Dimitris Koutsoumbas

$83 Vol.

6%

icon for Yanis Varoufakis

Yanis Varoufakis

$85 Vol.

5%

icon for Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

$1,978 Vol.

3%

icon for Kyriakos Velopoulos

Kyriakos Velopoulos

$588 Vol.

3%

icon for Afroditi Latinopoulou

Afroditi Latinopoulou

$488 Vol.

2%

icon for Nikos Androulakis

Nikos Androulakis

$48 Vol.

1%

icon for Zoe Konstantopoulou

Zoe Konstantopoulou

$1,193 Vol.

1%

icon for Maria Karystianou

Maria Karystianou

$262 Vol.

1%

icon for Stefanos Kasselakis

Stefanos Kasselakis

$636 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.**Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds an 78.5% implied probability as the next Greek prime minister, reflecting New Democracy’s consistent polling lead and the confirmed timeline for elections in spring 2027.** Recent surveys, including the late-August Interview/Politic poll, place ND at 26.5% (12 points ahead of Alexis Tsipras’s ELAS at 14.5%), with Mitsotakis personally favored by 29.3% as the leader best suited to govern. He has repeatedly ruled out an autumn snap election, emphasizing completion of the full term, infrastructure projects, agricultural subsidies, and the launch of an “Agenda 2030” economic and social roadmap ahead of the Thessaloniki International Fair. Opposition fragmentation sustains the gap. Tsipras’s ELAS has slipped in recent polling while other challengers such as PASOK’s Nikos Androulakis, Hellenic Solution’s Kyriakos Velopoulos, and smaller-party figures (including Maria Karystianou and Zoe Konstantopoulou) trail further behind. Mitsotakis’s focus on fiscal restraint, middle-class support measures, and EU-related priorities through Greece’s 2027 Council presidency reinforces trader consensus on continuity. Low-probability names and joke entries (such as Giannis Antetokounmpo) remain marginal given the structural advantages of incumbency and the single-ballot preference expressed by most voters.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
Volume
$22,123
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.**Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds an 78.5% implied probability as the next Greek prime minister, reflecting New Democracy’s consistent polling lead and the confirmed timeline for elections in spring 2027.** Recent surveys, including the late-August Interview/Politic poll, place ND at 26.5% (12 points ahead of Alexis Tsipras’s ELAS at 14.5%), with Mitsotakis personally favored by 29.3% as the leader best suited to govern. He has repeatedly ruled out an autumn snap election, emphasizing completion of the full term, infrastructure projects, agricultural subsidies, and the launch of an “Agenda 2030” economic and social roadmap ahead of the Thessaloniki International Fair. Opposition fragmentation sustains the gap. Tsipras’s ELAS has slipped in recent polling while other challengers such as PASOK’s Nikos Androulakis, Hellenic Solution’s Kyriakos Velopoulos, and smaller-party figures (including Maria Karystianou and Zoe Konstantopoulou) trail further behind. Mitsotakis’s focus on fiscal restraint, middle-class support measures, and EU-related priorities through Greece’s 2027 Council presidency reinforces trader consensus on continuity. Low-probability names and joke entries (such as Giannis Antetokounmpo) remain marginal given the structural advantages of incumbency and the single-ballot preference expressed by most voters.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
Volume
$22,123
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Greece?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyriakos Mitsotakis" at 79%, followed by "Alexis Tsipras" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Greece?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" is "Kyriakos Mitsotakis" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexis Tsipras" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Greece?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.