**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. A broad bipartisan coalition, Protect MI Constitution from Special Interests, has mobilized against the proposal, drawing support from labor groups including the UAW, education organizations such as the Michigan Education Association, business chambers, conservation advocates, and voting-rights coalitions. These groups highlight risks that a convention could reopen settled provisions on public education, collective bargaining, abortion rights, redistricting, and other voter-approved amendments. Limited endorsements for the measure have come primarily from some Republican legislators seeking targeted revisions, but no broad polling shift or major pro-convention campaign has emerged to alter the trajectory. As a result, trader consensus prices the “no” outcome at 93%, consistent with the pattern of decisive rejection when the question last appeared.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. A broad bipartisan coalition, Protect MI Constitution from Special Interests, has mobilized against the proposal, drawing support from labor groups including the UAW, education organizations such as the Michigan Education Association, business chambers, conservation advocates, and voting-rights coalitions. These groups highlight risks that a convention could reopen settled provisions on public education, collective bargaining, abortion rights, redistricting, and other voter-approved amendments. Limited endorsements for the measure have come primarily from some Republican legislators seeking targeted revisions, but no broad polling shift or major pro-convention campaign has emerged to alter the trajectory. As a result, trader consensus prices the “no” outcome at 93%, consistent with the pattern of decisive rejection when the question last appeared.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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