The Wyoming Senate race features Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican open seat on November 3, with all major forecasters projecting a wide margin exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus centers on the 190K-210K turnout range because the primary contest lacked general-election competitiveness after Hageman’s decisive August primary victory, limiting Democratic mobilization and overall voter enthusiasm in this deeply red state. Midterm turnout typically drops from presidential-year levels, with rural participation and Election Day conditions serving as the main variables. Recent primary results showed roughly 150K ballots cast statewide, consistent with historical patterns absent major catalysts for higher engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated190K-210K 40%
170K-190K 24%
210K-230K 22%
150K-170K 8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
8%
170K-190K
24%
190K-210K
40%
210K-230K
22%
230K-250K
3%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 40%
170K-190K 24%
210K-230K 22%
150K-170K 8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
8%
170K-190K
$131 Vol.
24%
190K-210K
$951 Vol.
40%
210K-230K
$158 Vol.
22%
230K-250K
$85 Vol.
3%
250K+
$552 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Wyoming Senate race features Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican open seat on November 3, with all major forecasters projecting a wide margin exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus centers on the 190K-210K turnout range because the primary contest lacked general-election competitiveness after Hageman’s decisive August primary victory, limiting Democratic mobilization and overall voter enthusiasm in this deeply red state. Midterm turnout typically drops from presidential-year levels, with rural participation and Election Day conditions serving as the main variables. Recent primary results showed roughly 150K ballots cast statewide, consistent with historical patterns absent major catalysts for higher engagement.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$2,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Wyoming Senate race features Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican open seat on November 3, with all major forecasters projecting a wide margin exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus centers on the 190K-210K turnout range because the primary contest lacked general-election competitiveness after Hageman’s decisive August primary victory, limiting Democratic mobilization and overall voter enthusiasm in this deeply red state. Midterm turnout typically drops from presidential-year levels, with rural participation and Election Day conditions serving as the main variables. Recent primary results showed roughly 150K ballots cast statewide, consistent with historical patterns absent major catalysts for higher engagement.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wyoming Senate race features Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a solidly Republican open seat on November 3, with all major forecasters projecting a wide margin exceeding 30 points. Trader consensus centers on the 190K-210K turnout range because the primary contest lacked general-election competitiveness after Hageman’s decisive August primary victory, limiting Democratic mobilization and overall voter enthusiasm in this deeply red state. Midterm turnout typically drops from presidential-year levels, with rural participation and Election Day conditions serving as the main variables. Recent primary results showed roughly 150K ballots cast statewide, consistent with historical patterns absent major catalysts for higher engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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