Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces felony charges including attempted murder stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation captured on his livestream. The case remains in early pre-trial stages with proceedings bound over to a grand jury, no trial date set, and Eatherly recently released on a $1 million bond under house arrest and GPS monitoring following nearly three months in custody. Separate Nashville misdemeanor charges from a restaurant incident have also advanced but carry far lower stakes. Traders see the 86.5% implied probability of no conviction by the July 2027 resolution date as driven by the lengthy timeline allowing for delays, potential dismissals, or plea deals without an admission of guilt, alongside the inherent unpredictability of jury outcomes in self-defense cases. Upcoming grand jury decisions and any bond or motion hearings represent the next near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces felony charges including attempted murder stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, where he claims self-defense after an altercation captured on his livestream. The case remains in early pre-trial stages with proceedings bound over to a grand jury, no trial date set, and Eatherly recently released on a $1 million bond under house arrest and GPS monitoring following nearly three months in custody. Separate Nashville misdemeanor charges from a restaurant incident have also advanced but carry far lower stakes. Traders see the 86.5% implied probability of no conviction by the July 2027 resolution date as driven by the lengthy timeline allowing for delays, potential dismissals, or plea deals without an admission of guilt, alongside the inherent unpredictability of jury outcomes in self-defense cases. Upcoming grand jury decisions and any bond or motion hearings represent the next near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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