Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has historically averaged 30–50 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, producing a typical three-day range of roughly 40–150 depending on the calendar window. The current market heavily favors the 40-64 bracket because the Aug 27–29 period includes a weekend, when activity often drops, and recent resolved markets show comparable short stretches settling in the low-to-mid range absent major news spikes. Higher brackets above 65 carry single-digit odds, reflecting the low likelihood of a sudden surge. On Aug 28 alone, Musk posted at least nine visible items—including Grok updates, commentary on elections and AI, and quick reactions—keeping the daily count on pace for a moderate total. An upset into the 65+ range would require an unforeseen high-impact event or sustained engagement wave over the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
40-64 100.0%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$553,257 Vol.
$553,257 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
40-64
100%
65-89
<1%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 100.0%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$553,257 Vol.
$553,257 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
40-64
$145,242 Vol.
100%
65-89
$159,167 Vol.
<1%
90-114
$66,338 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$41,956 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$31,446 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,175 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$8,211 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,384 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has historically averaged 30–50 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, producing a typical three-day range of roughly 40–150 depending on the calendar window. The current market heavily favors the 40-64 bracket because the Aug 27–29 period includes a weekend, when activity often drops, and recent resolved markets show comparable short stretches settling in the low-to-mid range absent major news spikes. Higher brackets above 65 carry single-digit odds, reflecting the low likelihood of a sudden surge. On Aug 28 alone, Musk posted at least nine visible items—including Grok updates, commentary on elections and AI, and quick reactions—keeping the daily count on pace for a moderate total. An upset into the 65+ range would require an unforeseen high-impact event or sustained engagement wave over the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$553,257End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has historically averaged 30–50 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, producing a typical three-day range of roughly 40–150 depending on the calendar window. The current market heavily favors the 40-64 bracket because the Aug 27–29 period includes a weekend, when activity often drops, and recent resolved markets show comparable short stretches settling in the low-to-mid range absent major news spikes. Higher brackets above 65 carry single-digit odds, reflecting the low likelihood of a sudden surge. On Aug 28 alone, Musk posted at least nine visible items—including Grok updates, commentary on elections and AI, and quick reactions—keeping the daily count on pace for a moderate total. An upset into the 65+ range would require an unforeseen high-impact event or sustained engagement wave over the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$553,257End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has historically averaged 30–50 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day, producing a typical three-day range of roughly 40–150 depending on the calendar window. The current market heavily favors the 40-64 bracket because the Aug 27–29 period includes a weekend, when activity often drops, and recent resolved markets show comparable short stretches settling in the low-to-mid range absent major news spikes. Higher brackets above 65 carry single-digit odds, reflecting the low likelihood of a sudden surge. On Aug 28 alone, Musk posted at least nine visible items—including Grok updates, commentary on elections and AI, and quick reactions—keeping the daily count on pace for a moderate total. An upset into the 65+ range would require an unforeseen high-impact event or sustained engagement wave over the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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