Recent weekly totals have clustered tightly around 180–199 posts, as seen in the just-resolved September 8–15 window that landed at 186. Traders are pricing the upcoming September 18–25 period similarly because Musk’s baseline cadence—roughly 23 posts per day—has held steady amid routine commentary on X policy, AI, Tesla, and politics. The September 22 Starship flight test stands out as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume into the 200–219 range or higher if launch-day engagement spikes. Absent major regulatory or political flashpoints, the market sees limited downside below 160 or upside beyond 220, keeping the top three brackets within a few percentage points of one another.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
140-159 13%
$51,379 Vol.
$51,379 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
12%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
140-159 13%
$51,379 Vol.
$51,379 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
12%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly totals have clustered tightly around 180–199 posts, as seen in the just-resolved September 8–15 window that landed at 186. Traders are pricing the upcoming September 18–25 period similarly because Musk’s baseline cadence—roughly 23 posts per day—has held steady amid routine commentary on X policy, AI, Tesla, and politics. The September 22 Starship flight test stands out as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume into the 200–219 range or higher if launch-day engagement spikes. Absent major regulatory or political flashpoints, the market sees limited downside below 160 or upside beyond 220, keeping the top three brackets within a few percentage points of one another.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions