Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the socially awkward political assistant Patricia in the new Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status in this category, with traders assigning her a 65.1% implied probability. Strong reviews, social-media buzz including dedicated fan threads, and standout episodes have fueled her rapid rise since nominations, reflecting voter appetite for fresh voices over repeat winners. Hannah Einbinder, last year’s recipient for “Hacks,” holds 24.0% amid the show’s final-season campaign, but momentum has shifted toward O’Flynn as experts highlight the newcomer’s critical consensus and awards narrative. Lower-probability contenders such as Megan Stalter, Michelle Pfeiffer, and Janelle James trail due to less dominant precursor traction and split votes within their ensembles ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 65.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 24%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 5.0%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
$28,916 Vol.
$28,916 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
66%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
24%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
5%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 65.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 24%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 5.0%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
$28,916 Vol.
$28,916 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
66%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
24%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
5%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the socially awkward political assistant Patricia in the new Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status in this category, with traders assigning her a 65.1% implied probability. Strong reviews, social-media buzz including dedicated fan threads, and standout episodes have fueled her rapid rise since nominations, reflecting voter appetite for fresh voices over repeat winners. Hannah Einbinder, last year’s recipient for “Hacks,” holds 24.0% amid the show’s final-season campaign, but momentum has shifted toward O’Flynn as experts highlight the newcomer’s critical consensus and awards narrative. Lower-probability contenders such as Megan Stalter, Michelle Pfeiffer, and Janelle James trail due to less dominant precursor traction and split votes within their ensembles ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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