Florida’s 6th congressional district rates as solidly Republican across nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential voting and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who captured the Republican nomination decisively in the August 18 primary. Fine, who entered the seat via a 2025 special election, faces Democrat Eric Yonce, the winner of a low-turnout Democratic primary. The district’s partisan composition and limited competitive history anchor trader consensus near 94-95% for a Republican victory on November 3. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in similar seats suggest such shifts remain uncommon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-06 House Election Winner
FL-06 House Election Winner
$12,568 Vol.
$12,568 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,568 Vol.
$12,568 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,902 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$8,666 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 6th congressional district rates as solidly Republican across nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential voting and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who captured the Republican nomination decisively in the August 18 primary. Fine, who entered the seat via a 2025 special election, faces Democrat Eric Yonce, the winner of a low-turnout Democratic primary. The district’s partisan composition and limited competitive history anchor trader consensus near 94-95% for a Republican victory on November 3. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in similar seats suggest such shifts remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$12,568End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 6th congressional district rates as solidly Republican across nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential voting and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who captured the Republican nomination decisively in the August 18 primary. Fine, who entered the seat via a 2025 special election, faces Democrat Eric Yonce, the winner of a low-turnout Democratic primary. The district’s partisan composition and limited competitive history anchor trader consensus near 94-95% for a Republican victory on November 3. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in similar seats suggest such shifts remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,568End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 6th congressional district rates as solidly Republican across nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential voting and the presence of incumbent Randy Fine, who captured the Republican nomination decisively in the August 18 primary. Fine, who entered the seat via a 2025 special election, faces Democrat Eric Yonce, the winner of a low-turnout Democratic primary. The district’s partisan composition and limited competitive history anchor trader consensus near 94-95% for a Republican victory on November 3. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in similar seats suggest such shifts remain uncommon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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