**Republican nominee Sydney Gruters holds a strong position in Florida’s 16th congressional district for the November 3 general election following her decisive August 18 primary victory.** The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan sits in a district rated R+6 by forecasters, where Donald Trump carried roughly 56% in the prior presidential cycle. Gruters, backed by significant fundraising and ties to state Republican leadership, consolidated support quickly in a multi-candidate primary. Democratic nominee Kelly Kirschner advanced from her own primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. An independent candidate, Mark Davis, is also on the ballot but is viewed as a long shot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with the market’s 85.5% consensus for the Republican Party.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,412 Vol.
86%
Democratic Party
$15,766 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Sydney Gruters holds a strong position in Florida’s 16th congressional district for the November 3 general election following her decisive August 18 primary victory.** The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan sits in a district rated R+6 by forecasters, where Donald Trump carried roughly 56% in the prior presidential cycle. Gruters, backed by significant fundraising and ties to state Republican leadership, consolidated support quickly in a multi-candidate primary. Democratic nominee Kelly Kirschner advanced from her own primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. An independent candidate, Mark Davis, is also on the ballot but is viewed as a long shot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with the market’s 85.5% consensus for the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$25,178End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Sydney Gruters holds a strong position in Florida’s 16th congressional district for the November 3 general election following her decisive August 18 primary victory.** The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan sits in a district rated R+6 by forecasters, where Donald Trump carried roughly 56% in the prior presidential cycle. Gruters, backed by significant fundraising and ties to state Republican leadership, consolidated support quickly in a multi-candidate primary. Democratic nominee Kelly Kirschner advanced from her own primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. An independent candidate, Mark Davis, is also on the ballot but is viewed as a long shot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with the market’s 85.5% consensus for the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,178End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Sydney Gruters holds a strong position in Florida’s 16th congressional district for the November 3 general election following her decisive August 18 primary victory.** The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan sits in a district rated R+6 by forecasters, where Donald Trump carried roughly 56% in the prior presidential cycle. Gruters, backed by significant fundraising and ties to state Republican leadership, consolidated support quickly in a multi-candidate primary. Democratic nominee Kelly Kirschner advanced from her own primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. An independent candidate, Mark Davis, is also on the ballot but is viewed as a long shot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with the market’s 85.5% consensus for the Republican Party.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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