Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican James Duffie. The Atlanta-area seat carries a D+27 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Johnson a 51-point victory in 2024, consistent with longstanding Democratic dominance in voter registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable Republican path. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because structural factors such as district boundaries and historical margins outweigh any late-cycle variables short of an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or major scandal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$47,856 Vol.
$47,856 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$47,856 Vol.
$47,856 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,833 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$18,023 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican James Duffie. The Atlanta-area seat carries a D+27 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Johnson a 51-point victory in 2024, consistent with longstanding Democratic dominance in voter registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable Republican path. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because structural factors such as district boundaries and historical margins outweigh any late-cycle variables short of an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or major scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$47,856End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican James Duffie. The Atlanta-area seat carries a D+27 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Johnson a 51-point victory in 2024, consistent with longstanding Democratic dominance in voter registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable Republican path. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because structural factors such as district boundaries and historical margins outweigh any late-cycle variables short of an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or major scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,856End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican James Duffie. The Atlanta-area seat carries a D+27 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Johnson a 51-point victory in 2024, consistent with longstanding Democratic dominance in voter registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable Republican path. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because structural factors such as district boundaries and historical margins outweigh any late-cycle variables short of an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or major scandal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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