Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a 61% implied probability in trader consensus for the open 2026 Georgia governorship, ahead of Republican Rick Jackson at 40%, reflecting the closely contested nature of this November 3 election to replace term-limited incumbent Brian Kemp. Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary with strong support among key voting blocs in the Atlanta metro area, while Jackson advanced through a June runoff as a self-funded healthcare executive emphasizing tax cuts, affordability, and outsider status. Recent polling averages show a narrow Democratic edge or statistical tie, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state dynamics and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with upcoming debates and turnout efforts in battleground regions likely to influence final positioning before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGeorgia Governor Election Winner
Georgia Governor Election Winner
$67,740 Vol.
$67,740 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
61%
Rick Jackson (R)
40%
$67,740 Vol.
$67,740 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
$31,374 Vol.
61%
Rick Jackson (R)
$36,366 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a 61% implied probability in trader consensus for the open 2026 Georgia governorship, ahead of Republican Rick Jackson at 40%, reflecting the closely contested nature of this November 3 election to replace term-limited incumbent Brian Kemp. Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary with strong support among key voting blocs in the Atlanta metro area, while Jackson advanced through a June runoff as a self-funded healthcare executive emphasizing tax cuts, affordability, and outsider status. Recent polling averages show a narrow Democratic edge or statistical tie, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state dynamics and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with upcoming debates and turnout efforts in battleground regions likely to influence final positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$67,740End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a 61% implied probability in trader consensus for the open 2026 Georgia governorship, ahead of Republican Rick Jackson at 40%, reflecting the closely contested nature of this November 3 election to replace term-limited incumbent Brian Kemp. Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary with strong support among key voting blocs in the Atlanta metro area, while Jackson advanced through a June runoff as a self-funded healthcare executive emphasizing tax cuts, affordability, and outsider status. Recent polling averages show a narrow Democratic edge or statistical tie, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state dynamics and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with upcoming debates and turnout efforts in battleground regions likely to influence final positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$67,740End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a 61% implied probability in trader consensus for the open 2026 Georgia governorship, ahead of Republican Rick Jackson at 40%, reflecting the closely contested nature of this November 3 election to replace term-limited incumbent Brian Kemp. Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in the May primary with strong support among key voting blocs in the Atlanta metro area, while Jackson advanced through a June runoff as a self-funded healthcare executive emphasizing tax cuts, affordability, and outsider status. Recent polling averages show a narrow Democratic edge or statistical tie, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state dynamics and the absence of a Republican incumbent advantage. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, with upcoming debates and turnout efforts in battleground regions likely to influence final positioning before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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