Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Hannover mayoral election due to his incumbency advantage and favorable polling. A late-August Forsa survey commissioned by local media placed Onay at 40 percent, well ahead of CDU challenger Peter Karst at 21 percent and SPD candidate Axel von der Ohe, Onay’s former deputy, at 20 percent, pointing to a probable runoff on September 27. Earlier SPD-commissioned polls showed tighter margins, but recent data and Green strength in concurrent council preferences have reinforced Onay’s position. The broad field of nine candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and smaller-party contenders, fragments opposition votes and supports elevated implied probability for the incumbent in the first round and any runoff scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHannover Mayoral Election Winner
Hannover Mayoral Election Winner
Belit Onay 74%
Axel von der Ohe 15%
Peter Karst 1.3%
Jessica Schülke 1.1%
$19,238 Vol.
$19,238 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Belit Onay
74%
Axel von der Ohe
15%
Peter Karst
1%
Jessica Schülke
1%
Maren Kaminski
<1%
Larissa Boch
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
<1%
Muammer Duran
<1%
Belit Onay 74%
Axel von der Ohe 15%
Peter Karst 1.3%
Jessica Schülke 1.1%
$19,238 Vol.
$19,238 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Belit Onay
$9,092 Vol.
74%
Axel von der Ohe
$3,380 Vol.
15%
Peter Karst
$1,665 Vol.
1%
Jessica Schülke
$1,304 Vol.
1%
Maren Kaminski
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
Larissa Boch
$603 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
$641 Vol.
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
$567 Vol.
<1%
Muammer Duran
$570 Vol.
<1%
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Hannover mayoral election due to his incumbency advantage and favorable polling. A late-August Forsa survey commissioned by local media placed Onay at 40 percent, well ahead of CDU challenger Peter Karst at 21 percent and SPD candidate Axel von der Ohe, Onay’s former deputy, at 20 percent, pointing to a probable runoff on September 27. Earlier SPD-commissioned polls showed tighter margins, but recent data and Green strength in concurrent council preferences have reinforced Onay’s position. The broad field of nine candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and smaller-party contenders, fragments opposition votes and supports elevated implied probability for the incumbent in the first round and any runoff scenario.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$19,238End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Hannover mayoral election due to his incumbency advantage and favorable polling. A late-August Forsa survey commissioned by local media placed Onay at 40 percent, well ahead of CDU challenger Peter Karst at 21 percent and SPD candidate Axel von der Ohe, Onay’s former deputy, at 20 percent, pointing to a probable runoff on September 27. Earlier SPD-commissioned polls showed tighter margins, but recent data and Green strength in concurrent council preferences have reinforced Onay’s position. The broad field of nine candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and smaller-party contenders, fragments opposition votes and supports elevated implied probability for the incumbent in the first round and any runoff scenario.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$19,238End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Hannover mayoral election due to his incumbency advantage and favorable polling. A late-August Forsa survey commissioned by local media placed Onay at 40 percent, well ahead of CDU challenger Peter Karst at 21 percent and SPD candidate Axel von der Ohe, Onay’s former deputy, at 20 percent, pointing to a probable runoff on September 27. Earlier SPD-commissioned polls showed tighter margins, but recent data and Green strength in concurrent council preferences have reinforced Onay’s position. The broad field of nine candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and smaller-party contenders, fragments opposition votes and supports elevated implied probability for the incumbent in the first round and any runoff scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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