The Oldenburg mayoral race stays closely contested ahead of the September 13 first-round vote because Jascha Rohr’s cross-party backing from the Greens and CDU creates a broad but not dominant coalition, while Ulf Prange draws on the SPD’s established local organization and Prange’s long record in the city council and state parliament. Nine candidates split the field, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two and keeping implied probabilities near even in trader assessments. Recent forums and candidate approvals in July and August have not produced decisive polling shifts or new endorsements that would widen the gap. Turnout patterns, preference flows from smaller-party voters, and any last-minute positioning on city development issues could still tip the balance before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJascha Rohr 51%
Ulf Prange 47%
Byanca Küßner <1%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
$14,112 Vol.
$14,112 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Jascha Rohr
51%
Ulf Prange
47%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Jascha Rohr 51%
Ulf Prange 47%
Byanca Küßner <1%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
$14,112 Vol.
$14,112 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Jascha Rohr
$3,936 Vol.
51%
Ulf Prange
$3,658 Vol.
47%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The Oldenburg mayoral race stays closely contested ahead of the September 13 first-round vote because Jascha Rohr’s cross-party backing from the Greens and CDU creates a broad but not dominant coalition, while Ulf Prange draws on the SPD’s established local organization and Prange’s long record in the city council and state parliament. Nine candidates split the field, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two and keeping implied probabilities near even in trader assessments. Recent forums and candidate approvals in July and August have not produced decisive polling shifts or new endorsements that would widen the gap. Turnout patterns, preference flows from smaller-party voters, and any last-minute positioning on city development issues could still tip the balance before ballots are cast.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$14,112End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The Oldenburg mayoral race stays closely contested ahead of the September 13 first-round vote because Jascha Rohr’s cross-party backing from the Greens and CDU creates a broad but not dominant coalition, while Ulf Prange draws on the SPD’s established local organization and Prange’s long record in the city council and state parliament. Nine candidates split the field, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two and keeping implied probabilities near even in trader assessments. Recent forums and candidate approvals in July and August have not produced decisive polling shifts or new endorsements that would widen the gap. Turnout patterns, preference flows from smaller-party voters, and any last-minute positioning on city development issues could still tip the balance before ballots are cast.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$14,112End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Oldenburg mayoral race stays closely contested ahead of the September 13 first-round vote because Jascha Rohr’s cross-party backing from the Greens and CDU creates a broad but not dominant coalition, while Ulf Prange draws on the SPD’s established local organization and Prange’s long record in the city council and state parliament. Nine candidates split the field, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two and keeping implied probabilities near even in trader assessments. Recent forums and candidate approvals in July and August have not produced decisive polling shifts or new endorsements that would widen the gap. Turnout patterns, preference flows from smaller-party voters, and any last-minute positioning on city development issues could still tip the balance before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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