Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show AfD support fluctuating between 17% and 19%, placing it in a tight contest with the CDU and Left party for second or first place behind recent Left leads around 22%. This positioning reflects national AfD gains on immigration and economic issues offset by Berlin’s urban voter base and competition from established parties. Seat projections based on these shares typically place AfD near 26–30 mandates in the 147-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, with outcomes sensitive to final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any late shifts among undecided voters. The narrow spread among leading outcomes in trader pricing mirrors the polling volatility and limited remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated35+ 24.7%
29-31 22%
32-34 21%
26-28 14%
$34,434 Vol.
$34,434 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
1%
20-22
5%
23-25
2%
26-28
14%
29-31
22%
32-34
21%
35+
25%
35+ 24.7%
29-31 22%
32-34 21%
26-28 14%
$34,434 Vol.
$34,434 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$1,850 Vol.
1%
20-22
$5,236 Vol.
5%
23-25
$2,377 Vol.
2%
26-28
$3,159 Vol.
14%
29-31
$4,080 Vol.
22%
32-34
$3,883 Vol.
21%
35+
$13,851 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show AfD support fluctuating between 17% and 19%, placing it in a tight contest with the CDU and Left party for second or first place behind recent Left leads around 22%. This positioning reflects national AfD gains on immigration and economic issues offset by Berlin’s urban voter base and competition from established parties. Seat projections based on these shares typically place AfD near 26–30 mandates in the 147-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, with outcomes sensitive to final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any late shifts among undecided voters. The narrow spread among leading outcomes in trader pricing mirrors the polling volatility and limited remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$34,434End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show AfD support fluctuating between 17% and 19%, placing it in a tight contest with the CDU and Left party for second or first place behind recent Left leads around 22%. This positioning reflects national AfD gains on immigration and economic issues offset by Berlin’s urban voter base and competition from established parties. Seat projections based on these shares typically place AfD near 26–30 mandates in the 147-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, with outcomes sensitive to final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any late shifts among undecided voters. The narrow spread among leading outcomes in trader pricing mirrors the polling volatility and limited remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$34,434End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show AfD support fluctuating between 17% and 19%, placing it in a tight contest with the CDU and Left party for second or first place behind recent Left leads around 22%. This positioning reflects national AfD gains on immigration and economic issues offset by Berlin’s urban voter base and competition from established parties. Seat projections based on these shares typically place AfD near 26–30 mandates in the 147-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, with outcomes sensitive to final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any late shifts among undecided voters. The narrow spread among leading outcomes in trader pricing mirrors the polling volatility and limited remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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