Recent polling in the three September 2026 German state elections shows the AfD holding commanding leads in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where it exceeds 36-42% support amid voter dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-SPD coalition and immigration policy. In Saxony-Anhalt, surveys place the party well ahead of the CDU with little sign of erosion two weeks before the September 6 vote. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern follows a similar pattern, with the AfD ahead of the SPD. Berlin remains far more competitive, with the AfD polling around 17% and trailing other parties. These patterns position two AfD pluralities as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting regional divides in support and the limited prospects for a third win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2 82%
3 11.0%
1 8.8%
0 <1%
$64,938 Vol.
$64,938 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
<1%
1
9%
2
82%
3
11%
2 82%
3 11.0%
1 8.8%
0 <1%
$64,938 Vol.
$64,938 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$6,603 Vol.
<1%
1
$14,907 Vol.
9%
2
$25,779 Vol.
82%
3
$17,649 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. Recent polling in the three September 2026 German state elections shows the AfD holding commanding leads in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where it exceeds 36-42% support amid voter dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-SPD coalition and immigration policy. In Saxony-Anhalt, surveys place the party well ahead of the CDU with little sign of erosion two weeks before the September 6 vote. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern follows a similar pattern, with the AfD ahead of the SPD. Berlin remains far more competitive, with the AfD polling around 17% and trailing other parties. These patterns position two AfD pluralities as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting regional divides in support and the limited prospects for a third win.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$64,938End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. Recent polling in the three September 2026 German state elections shows the AfD holding commanding leads in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where it exceeds 36-42% support amid voter dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-SPD coalition and immigration policy. In Saxony-Anhalt, surveys place the party well ahead of the CDU with little sign of erosion two weeks before the September 6 vote. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern follows a similar pattern, with the AfD ahead of the SPD. Berlin remains far more competitive, with the AfD polling around 17% and trailing other parties. These patterns position two AfD pluralities as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting regional divides in support and the limited prospects for a third win.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Volume
$64,938End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the three September 2026 German state elections shows the AfD holding commanding leads in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where it exceeds 36-42% support amid voter dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-SPD coalition and immigration policy. In Saxony-Anhalt, surveys place the party well ahead of the CDU with little sign of erosion two weeks before the September 6 vote. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern follows a similar pattern, with the AfD ahead of the SPD. Berlin remains far more competitive, with the AfD polling around 17% and trailing other parties. These patterns position two AfD pluralities as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting regional divides in support and the limited prospects for a third win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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