Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke leading at 19-22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD at 17-20 percent each, with Grüne holding steady near 16-17 percent and SPD lower at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties sustains high uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement could reorder Grüne, AfD, CDU, or SPD. Trader consensus reflects these fluctuating aggregates, with Grüne priced highest among contenders while others remain tightly bunched. No single recent event has created decisive separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to final-week campaigning and any last-minute polling swings before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrüne 45%
AfD 19%
CDU 11%
SPD 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
45%
AfD
19%
CDU
11%
SPD
10%
Linke
5%
FW
5%
BSW
4%
FDP
4%
Grüne 45%
AfD 19%
CDU 11%
SPD 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$3,436 Vol.
45%
AfD
$54 Vol.
19%
CDU
$56 Vol.
11%
SPD
$76 Vol.
10%
Linke
$460 Vol.
5%
FW
$84 Vol.
5%
BSW
$51 Vol.
4%
FDP
$99 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke leading at 19-22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD at 17-20 percent each, with Grüne holding steady near 16-17 percent and SPD lower at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties sustains high uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement could reorder Grüne, AfD, CDU, or SPD. Trader consensus reflects these fluctuating aggregates, with Grüne priced highest among contenders while others remain tightly bunched. No single recent event has created decisive separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to final-week campaigning and any last-minute polling swings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,315End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke leading at 19-22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD at 17-20 percent each, with Grüne holding steady near 16-17 percent and SPD lower at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties sustains high uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement could reorder Grüne, AfD, CDU, or SPD. Trader consensus reflects these fluctuating aggregates, with Grüne priced highest among contenders while others remain tightly bunched. No single recent event has created decisive separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to final-week campaigning and any last-minute polling swings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$4,315End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Linke leading at 19-22 percent, followed closely by CDU and AfD at 17-20 percent each, with Grüne holding steady near 16-17 percent and SPD lower at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among mid-tier parties sustains high uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement could reorder Grüne, AfD, CDU, or SPD. Trader consensus reflects these fluctuating aggregates, with Grüne priced highest among contenders while others remain tightly bunched. No single recent event has created decisive separation, leaving the outcome sensitive to final-week campaigning and any last-minute polling swings before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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