Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD in the high teens and the Greens at 16–17 percent, with the SPD further back. This positioning keeps the contest for third place tight among the AfD, Greens, and CDU, as small shifts in turnout or preference among undecided voters or minor parties could reorder the middle rankings. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains amid national trends, and Linke momentum have contributed to the current clustering. Late-campaign events, final turnout differentials, or unexpected movements in smaller lists could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$22,673 Vol.
$22,673 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
34%
Grüne
29%
CDU
27%
Linke
10%
SPD
7%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$22,673 Vol.
$22,673 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
34%
Grüne
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,704 Vol.
27%
Linke
$4,578 Vol.
10%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
7%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD in the high teens and the Greens at 16–17 percent, with the SPD further back. This positioning keeps the contest for third place tight among the AfD, Greens, and CDU, as small shifts in turnout or preference among undecided voters or minor parties could reorder the middle rankings. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains amid national trends, and Linke momentum have contributed to the current clustering. Late-campaign events, final turnout differentials, or unexpected movements in smaller lists could still alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,673End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD in the high teens and the Greens at 16–17 percent, with the SPD further back. This positioning keeps the contest for third place tight among the AfD, Greens, and CDU, as small shifts in turnout or preference among undecided voters or minor parties could reorder the middle rankings. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains amid national trends, and Linke momentum have contributed to the current clustering. Late-campaign events, final turnout differentials, or unexpected movements in smaller lists could still alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$22,673End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke leading at 19–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD in the high teens and the Greens at 16–17 percent, with the SPD further back. This positioning keeps the contest for third place tight among the AfD, Greens, and CDU, as small shifts in turnout or preference among undecided voters or minor parties could reorder the middle rankings. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains amid national trends, and Linke momentum have contributed to the current clustering. Late-campaign events, final turnout differentials, or unexpected movements in smaller lists could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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