Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in late June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control. Broader withdrawal from the expanded southern buffer zone remains explicitly conditions-based on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, dismantlement of infrastructure, and Lebanese army deployment, rather than any fixed timeline. Israel has conducted limited position shifts southward in preceding weeks but continues strikes against perceived threats, while Hezbollah has rejected the deal and Lebanese forces face implementation challenges. These factors sustain trader focus on measurable security progress and any diplomatic follow-up within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsraeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
$1,163,821 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
December 31
12%
$1,163,821 Vol.
August 31
$104,314 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$324,906 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in late June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control. Broader withdrawal from the expanded southern buffer zone remains explicitly conditions-based on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, dismantlement of infrastructure, and Lebanese army deployment, rather than any fixed timeline. Israel has conducted limited position shifts southward in preceding weeks but continues strikes against perceived threats, while Hezbollah has rejected the deal and Lebanese forces face implementation challenges. These factors sustain trader focus on measurable security progress and any diplomatic follow-up within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,163,821End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in late June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control. Broader withdrawal from the expanded southern buffer zone remains explicitly conditions-based on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, dismantlement of infrastructure, and Lebanese army deployment, rather than any fixed timeline. Israel has conducted limited position shifts southward in preceding weeks but continues strikes against perceived threats, while Hezbollah has rejected the deal and Lebanese forces face implementation challenges. These factors sustain trader focus on measurable security progress and any diplomatic follow-up within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,163,821End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in late June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control. Broader withdrawal from the expanded southern buffer zone remains explicitly conditions-based on verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, dismantlement of infrastructure, and Lebanese army deployment, rather than any fixed timeline. Israel has conducted limited position shifts southward in preceding weeks but continues strikes against perceived threats, while Hezbollah has rejected the deal and Lebanese forces face implementation challenges. These factors sustain trader focus on measurable security progress and any diplomatic follow-up within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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