Israeli military operations remain concentrated in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, where forces have established and maintained a security zone while conducting strikes, demolitions, and tunnel clearances targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. Air strikes have hit Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) on multiple occasions in response to rocket or drone fire, but ground incursions into the capital have not occurred. US diplomatic pressure, including direct interventions by President Trump, has repeatedly limited escalation, while parallel talks in Rome focus on phased IDF withdrawals tied to Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah disarmament. Ceasefire violations continue on both sides, yet recent statements from Israeli officials emphasize an extended stay in the south rather than northward advances. These dynamics, combined with active negotiation timelines and external restraints, shape trader assessments of any near-term ground entry into Beirut.