Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

icon for Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

51%

March 31, 2027

$0 Vol.

52%

June 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s confidential Hong Kong IPO filing on September 3, 2026, reflects the strong momentum from its July Kimi K3 launch, the world’s largest open-weight large language model at 2.8 trillion parameters. The release drove rapid enterprise and developer adoption, pushing annual recurring revenue to $300 million by June with API sales dominating, and supported a valuation climb to $35 billion after a July funding round and a targeted $50 billion pre-IPO round. The Beijing startup has restructured its corporate setup to meet Chinese regulatory requirements for overseas listings, secured backing from Alibaba and Tencent, and entered early talks with Microsoft, Amazon, and Google on revenue-sharing deals to host the model on U.S. cloud platforms. A formal listing application is eyed by late September, with potential completion in Q1 2027 depending on approvals and market conditions, amid competition from peers like DeepSeek.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s confidential Hong Kong IPO filing on September 3, 2026, reflects the strong momentum from its July Kimi K3 launch, the world’s largest open-weight large language model at 2.8 trillion parameters. The release drove rapid enterprise and developer adoption, pushing annual recurring revenue to $300 million by June with API sales dominating, and supported a valuation climb to $35 billion after a July funding round and a targeted $50 billion pre-IPO round. The Beijing startup has restructured its corporate setup to meet Chinese regulatory requirements for overseas listings, secured backing from Alibaba and Tencent, and entered early talks with Microsoft, Amazon, and Google on revenue-sharing deals to host the model on U.S. cloud platforms. A formal listing application is eyed by late September, with potential completion in Q1 2027 depending on approvals and market conditions, amid competition from peers like DeepSeek.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2027" at 53%, followed by "March 31, 2027" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" is "June 30, 2027" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31, 2027" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.