Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and its suburbs, has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles due to its partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing at 96.7 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A meaningful shift would require either a major late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overriding the district’s established lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and its suburbs, has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles due to its partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing at 96.7 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A meaningful shift would require either a major late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overriding the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and its suburbs, has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles due to its partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing at 96.7 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A meaningful shift would require either a major late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overriding the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and its suburbs, has delivered Democratic victories exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles due to its partisan composition and turnout patterns. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader pricing at 96.7 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A meaningful shift would require either a major late-cycle scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overriding the district’s established lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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