OpenAI’s current GPT Image 2, released April 2026 with native reasoning before rendering, tops text-to-image leaderboards and powers production workflows through the API. Recent blind Arena testing of codenamed models like mona-lisa-1 and luna-lisa-alpha since mid-August signals active development of a 2.1+ successor, following the pattern where prior codenames preceded launches by roughly two weeks. The company’s four-month cadence and September 29 DevDay event create near-term catalysts, while deprecation timelines for gpt-image-1 and 1.5 add internal pressure. Competitive pressure from Google’s Gemini image line and demands for better consistency, transparency support, and instruction following further shape timing expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAugust 31
5%
September 30
57%
$9,430 Vol.
August 31
5%
September 30
57%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT Image" and be designated as version 2.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 2.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT Image 1.5 or GPT Image 2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT Image 3, while models whose name does not include "GPT Image" or which retain a version designation of 2 or below, such as GPT Image 2, GPT Image 2 mini, or DALL-E 3, will not qualify. Size, speed, or cost variants of any existing version, such as mini or turbo variants, and application or product version launches without a new qualifying underlying model, such as a "ChatGPT Images 3.0" product update, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT Image" and be designated as version 2.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 2.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT Image 1.5 or GPT Image 2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT Image 3, while models whose name does not include "GPT Image" or which retain a version designation of 2 or below, such as GPT Image 2, GPT Image 2 mini, or DALL-E 3, will not qualify. Size, speed, or cost variants of any existing version, such as mini or turbo variants, and application or product version launches without a new qualifying underlying model, such as a "ChatGPT Images 3.0" product update, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s current GPT Image 2, released April 2026 with native reasoning before rendering, tops text-to-image leaderboards and powers production workflows through the API. Recent blind Arena testing of codenamed models like mona-lisa-1 and luna-lisa-alpha since mid-August signals active development of a 2.1+ successor, following the pattern where prior codenames preceded launches by roughly two weeks. The company’s four-month cadence and September 29 DevDay event create near-term catalysts, while deprecation timelines for gpt-image-1 and 1.5 add internal pressure. Competitive pressure from Google’s Gemini image line and demands for better consistency, transparency support, and instruction following further shape timing expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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