The New York 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods such as Harlem, Washington Heights, and Inwood, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams advanced with minimal opposition. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in reporting to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,900 Vol.
$39,900 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$39,900 Vol.
$39,900 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,409 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$12,491 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods such as Harlem, Washington Heights, and Inwood, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams advanced with minimal opposition. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in reporting to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,900End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods such as Harlem, Washington Heights, and Inwood, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams advanced with minimal opposition. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in reporting to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,900End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and Northwest Bronx neighborhoods such as Harlem, Washington Heights, and Inwood, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Republican Manual “Jomo” Williams advanced with minimal opposition. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in reporting to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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