The Texas 13th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+24, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s Panhandle and western Texoma composition. With the November 3 general election still months away, only an unforeseen national political realignment, late scandal, or health event involving the incumbent would realistically narrow the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+24, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s Panhandle and western Texoma composition. With the November 3 general election still months away, only an unforeseen national political realignment, late scandal, or health event involving the incumbent would realistically narrow the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+24, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s Panhandle and western Texoma composition. With the November 3 general election still months away, only an unforeseen national political realignment, late scandal, or health event involving the incumbent would realistically narrow the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 13th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP and a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+24, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s Panhandle and western Texoma composition. With the November 3 general election still months away, only an unforeseen national political realignment, late scandal, or health event involving the incumbent would realistically narrow the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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