The dominant <38M outcome at 99.4% implied probability reflects the "World's Largest Minecraft Build!" video's measured early performance on the MrBeast Gaming channel. Uploaded around August 30, 2026, the Minecraft-focused upload has accumulated views at a modest pace compared with higher-profile prior releases that cleared 50M–80M in week one, as confirmed by live counters and channel analytics showing incremental daily gains in the low millions. Standard release cadence, absence of major cross-promotion or celebrity hooks, and typical tapering after initial spikes have reinforced trader consensus around sub-38M totals. An upset above 38M would require an unexpected late-week acceleration from viral clips, algorithm boosts, or unannounced marketing pushes, though historical patterns for similar gaming content make such a surge unlikely before the 168-hour window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
<38M 99.4%
38-40M <1%
40-42M <1%
42-44M <1%
$40,122 Vol.
$40,122 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
<38M
99%
38-40M
1%
40-42M
<1%
42-44M
<1%
44-46M
<1%
46-48M
<1%
48-50M
<1%
50-52M
<1%
52M+
<1%
<38M 99.4%
38-40M <1%
40-42M <1%
42-44M <1%
$40,122 Vol.
$40,122 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
<38M
$17,515 Vol.
99%
38-40M
$8,079 Vol.
1%
40-42M
$5,964 Vol.
<1%
42-44M
$3,091 Vol.
<1%
44-46M
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
46-48M
$758 Vol.
<1%
48-50M
$795 Vol.
<1%
50-52M
$450 Vol.
<1%
52M+
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The dominant <38M outcome at 99.4% implied probability reflects the "World's Largest Minecraft Build!" video's measured early performance on the MrBeast Gaming channel. Uploaded around August 30, 2026, the Minecraft-focused upload has accumulated views at a modest pace compared with higher-profile prior releases that cleared 50M–80M in week one, as confirmed by live counters and channel analytics showing incremental daily gains in the low millions. Standard release cadence, absence of major cross-promotion or celebrity hooks, and typical tapering after initial spikes have reinforced trader consensus around sub-38M totals. An upset above 38M would require an unexpected late-week acceleration from viral clips, algorithm boosts, or unannounced marketing pushes, though historical patterns for similar gaming content make such a surge unlikely before the 168-hour window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$40,122End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The dominant <38M outcome at 99.4% implied probability reflects the "World's Largest Minecraft Build!" video's measured early performance on the MrBeast Gaming channel. Uploaded around August 30, 2026, the Minecraft-focused upload has accumulated views at a modest pace compared with higher-profile prior releases that cleared 50M–80M in week one, as confirmed by live counters and channel analytics showing incremental daily gains in the low millions. Standard release cadence, absence of major cross-promotion or celebrity hooks, and typical tapering after initial spikes have reinforced trader consensus around sub-38M totals. An upset above 38M would require an unexpected late-week acceleration from viral clips, algorithm boosts, or unannounced marketing pushes, though historical patterns for similar gaming content make such a surge unlikely before the 168-hour window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$40,122End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant <38M outcome at 99.4% implied probability reflects the "World's Largest Minecraft Build!" video's measured early performance on the MrBeast Gaming channel. Uploaded around August 30, 2026, the Minecraft-focused upload has accumulated views at a modest pace compared with higher-profile prior releases that cleared 50M–80M in week one, as confirmed by live counters and channel analytics showing incremental daily gains in the low millions. Standard release cadence, absence of major cross-promotion or celebrity hooks, and typical tapering after initial spikes have reinforced trader consensus around sub-38M totals. An upset above 38M would require an unexpected late-week acceleration from viral clips, algorithm boosts, or unannounced marketing pushes, though historical patterns for similar gaming content make such a surge unlikely before the 168-hour window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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