Elon Musk’s posting pace has shown clear weekend moderation in recent settled Polymarket brackets, with several periods resolving in the 40-64 range and daily averages dipping below weekday norms around 20–30 posts. This pattern, combined with the current three-day window falling over a weekend, underpins trader consensus behind the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability. Recent activity through early September reflects steady but not explosive volume tied to product updates and platform commentary rather than major political or Tesla news cycles that historically drive higher output. No immediate catalysts appear positioned to push counts into the 90+ brackets, which trade at single-digit odds, while the 65-89 range sits as the secondary favorite at 27.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 48%
65-89 28%
<40 20%
90-114 6.7%
NEW
$28,458 Vol.
NEW
$28,458 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
20%
40-64
48%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 28%
<40 20%
90-114 6.7%
NEW
$28,458 Vol.
NEW
$28,458 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
$5,453 Vol.
20%
40-64
$5,209 Vol.
48%
65-89
$4,252 Vol.
28%
90-114
$3,895 Vol.
7%
115-139
$1,984 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,925 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,621 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,191 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$829 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace has shown clear weekend moderation in recent settled Polymarket brackets, with several periods resolving in the 40-64 range and daily averages dipping below weekday norms around 20–30 posts. This pattern, combined with the current three-day window falling over a weekend, underpins trader consensus behind the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability. Recent activity through early September reflects steady but not explosive volume tied to product updates and platform commentary rather than major political or Tesla news cycles that historically drive higher output. No immediate catalysts appear positioned to push counts into the 90+ brackets, which trade at single-digit odds, while the 65-89 range sits as the secondary favorite at 27.5%.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$28,458End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace has shown clear weekend moderation in recent settled Polymarket brackets, with several periods resolving in the 40-64 range and daily averages dipping below weekday norms around 20–30 posts. This pattern, combined with the current three-day window falling over a weekend, underpins trader consensus behind the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability. Recent activity through early September reflects steady but not explosive volume tied to product updates and platform commentary rather than major political or Tesla news cycles that historically drive higher output. No immediate catalysts appear positioned to push counts into the 90+ brackets, which trade at single-digit odds, while the 65-89 range sits as the secondary favorite at 27.5%.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$28,458End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace has shown clear weekend moderation in recent settled Polymarket brackets, with several periods resolving in the 40-64 range and daily averages dipping below weekday norms around 20–30 posts. This pattern, combined with the current three-day window falling over a weekend, underpins trader consensus behind the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability. Recent activity through early September reflects steady but not explosive volume tied to product updates and platform commentary rather than major political or Tesla news cycles that historically drive higher output. No immediate catalysts appear positioned to push counts into the 90+ brackets, which trade at single-digit odds, while the 65-89 range sits as the secondary favorite at 27.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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