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icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Sep 6

Sep 6

25–30M 29%

30–35M 27%

35–40M 26%

40M+ 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$12,968 Vol.

25–30M 29%

30–35M 27%

35–40M 26%

40M+ 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$12,968 Vol.

<15M

$1,255 Vol.

1%

15–20M

$1,272 Vol.

5%

20–25M

$1,784 Vol.

6%

25–30M

$3,462 Vol.

29%

30–35M

$722 Vol.

27%

35–40M

$1,679 Vol.

26%

40M+

$2,793 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s next main-channel upload, a high-stakes survival challenge leveraging a new Gemini AI partnership and scheduled for release on September 5, sits at the center of trader focus. Recent long-form videos have posted day-one totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20 millions, with “Escape 100 Cops” and similar August releases showing steady but not record-shattering first-day momentum once initial algorithmic push subsides. The tight spread among the 25–30M, 30–35M, and 35–40M bins reflects this pattern: subscriber scale and consistent Saturday drops provide a reliable floor, yet concept-specific hype and external news cycles determine whether a video clears 35 million before the 24-hour mark. Traders are watching pre-release teaser engagement and any late promotional spikes as the key swing factors ahead of the first chart update.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$12,968
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s next main-channel upload, a high-stakes survival challenge leveraging a new Gemini AI partnership and scheduled for release on September 5, sits at the center of trader focus. Recent long-form videos have posted day-one totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20 millions, with “Escape 100 Cops” and similar August releases showing steady but not record-shattering first-day momentum once initial algorithmic push subsides. The tight spread among the 25–30M, 30–35M, and 35–40M bins reflects this pattern: subscriber scale and consistent Saturday drops provide a reliable floor, yet concept-specific hype and external news cycles determine whether a video clears 35 million before the 24-hour mark. Traders are watching pre-release teaser engagement and any late promotional spikes as the key swing factors ahead of the first chart update.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$12,968
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25–30M" at 28%, followed by "30–35M" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "25–30M" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30–35M" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.