The even spread of implied probabilities around 50% reflects the high variance inherent in rushing touchdowns over a single NFL week, where red-zone opportunities, game scripts, and goal-line work determine outcomes more than overall volume. Recent injury developments have shifted workloads, including TreVeyon Henderson's ankle ruling him out and boosting Rhamondre Stevenson's share in New England's opener, while Chuba Hubbard cleared the hamstring report for Carolina. Projections highlight several backs like Jahmyr Gibbs, Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, and De'Von Achane with comparable touchdown upside in favorable matchups, but committees and defensive fronts keep any single leader far from assured. Trader consensus captures this uncertainty across the field rather than anointing one frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBucky Irving 50%
Kenny Gainwell 50%
Jaylen Warren 50%
Bhayshul Tuten 50%
Bucky Irving
50%
Kenny Gainwell
50%
Jaylen Warren
50%
Bhayshul Tuten
50%
Tyjae Spears
50%
Mike Washington Jr.
50%
Keaton Mitchell
50%
Javonte Williams
50%
Cam Skattebo
50%
Najee Harris
50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
50%
Rachaad White
50%
Sione Vaki
50%
Chris Brooks
50%
Travis Etienne Jr.
50%
Brian Robinson Jr.
50%
Jaylen Wright
50%
Chase Brown
50%
Samaje Perine
50%
David Montgomery
50%
Woody Marks
50%
Breece Hall
50%
Chuba Hubbard
50%
Jonathon Brooks
50%
Alvin Kamara
50%
Rico Dowdle
50%
Seth McGowan
50%
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
50%
Tony Pollard
50%
J.K. Dobbins
50%
RJ Harvey
50%
Kenneth Walker III
50%
Emmett Johnson
50%
Ashton Jeanty
50%
Omarion Hampton
50%
Malik Davis
50%
Saquon Barkley
50%
Tank Bigsby
50%
D'Andre Swift
50%
Kyle Monangai
50%
MarShawn Lloyd
50%
Jordan Mason
50%
Ray Davis
50%
De'Von Achane
50%
Rhamondre Stevenson
50%
TreVeyon Henderson
50%
Derrick Henry
50%
Quinshon Judkins
50%
Dylan Sampson
50%
Jonathan Taylor
50%
Jahmyr Gibbs
50%
Bijan Robinson
50%
Braelon Allen
50%
Jeremiyah Love
50%
Tyler Allgeier
50%
Kyren Williams
50%
Blake Corum
50%
Christian McCaffrey
50%
Kaelon Black
50%
Jadarian Price
50%
George Holani
50%
Justice Hill
50%
James Cook III
50%
Aaron Jones Sr.
49%
Bucky Irving 50%
Kenny Gainwell 50%
Jaylen Warren 50%
Bhayshul Tuten 50%
Bucky Irving
50%
Kenny Gainwell
50%
Jaylen Warren
50%
Bhayshul Tuten
50%
Tyjae Spears
50%
Mike Washington Jr.
50%
Keaton Mitchell
50%
Javonte Williams
50%
Cam Skattebo
50%
Najee Harris
50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
50%
Rachaad White
50%
Sione Vaki
50%
Chris Brooks
50%
Travis Etienne Jr.
50%
Brian Robinson Jr.
50%
Jaylen Wright
50%
Chase Brown
50%
Samaje Perine
50%
David Montgomery
50%
Woody Marks
50%
Breece Hall
50%
Chuba Hubbard
50%
Jonathon Brooks
50%
Alvin Kamara
50%
Rico Dowdle
50%
Seth McGowan
50%
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
50%
Tony Pollard
50%
J.K. Dobbins
50%
RJ Harvey
50%
Kenneth Walker III
50%
Emmett Johnson
50%
Ashton Jeanty
50%
Omarion Hampton
50%
Malik Davis
50%
Saquon Barkley
50%
Tank Bigsby
50%
D'Andre Swift
50%
Kyle Monangai
50%
MarShawn Lloyd
50%
Jordan Mason
50%
Ray Davis
50%
De'Von Achane
50%
Rhamondre Stevenson
50%
TreVeyon Henderson
50%
Derrick Henry
50%
Quinshon Judkins
50%
Dylan Sampson
50%
Jonathan Taylor
50%
Jahmyr Gibbs
50%
Bijan Robinson
50%
Braelon Allen
50%
Jeremiyah Love
50%
Tyler Allgeier
50%
Kyren Williams
50%
Blake Corum
50%
Christian McCaffrey
50%
Kaelon Black
50%
Jadarian Price
50%
George Holani
50%
Justice Hill
50%
James Cook III
50%
Aaron Jones Sr.
49%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The even spread of implied probabilities around 50% reflects the high variance inherent in rushing touchdowns over a single NFL week, where red-zone opportunities, game scripts, and goal-line work determine outcomes more than overall volume. Recent injury developments have shifted workloads, including TreVeyon Henderson's ankle ruling him out and boosting Rhamondre Stevenson's share in New England's opener, while Chuba Hubbard cleared the hamstring report for Carolina. Projections highlight several backs like Jahmyr Gibbs, Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, and De'Von Achane with comparable touchdown upside in favorable matchups, but committees and defensive fronts keep any single leader far from assured. Trader consensus captures this uncertainty across the field rather than anointing one frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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