The tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for dozens of players in the 2026-27 NFL Week 1 scrimmage touchdowns market reflect broad uncertainty heading into the season opener. No single running back or wide receiver has established a clear edge through training camp usage, preseason production, or offensive scheme fit, leaving the field wide open across multiple teams. Factors such as new coordinator play-calling, backfield committees, target distribution in pass-heavy attacks, and potential weather impacts on game scripts keep the race competitive, with historical Week 1 variance and roster depth further diluting any frontrunner advantage. Trader consensus prices this as a highly unpredictable single-week outcome rather than favoring established stars.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDallas Goedert 50%
Isaiah Likely 50%
D'Andre Swift 50%
George Kittle 50%
Dallas Goedert
50%
Isaiah Likely
50%
D'Andre Swift
50%
George Kittle
50%
James Cook III
50%
DJ Moore
50%
A.J. Brown
50%
Breece Hall
50%
Derrick Henry
50%
Zay Flowers
50%
Ja'Marr Chase
50%
Quinshon Judkins
50%
Jerry Jeudy
50%
Harold Fannin Jr.
50%
Jaylen Warren
50%
DK Metcalf
50%
Jonathan Taylor
50%
Bhayshul Tuten
50%
Brenton Strange
50%
Gunnar Helm
50%
Jaylen Waddle
50%
Kenneth Walker III
50%
Travis Kelce
50%
Ashton Jeanty
50%
Omarion Hampton
50%
Javonte Williams
50%
Jake Ferguson
50%
Dalton Kincaid
50%
Greg Dulcich
50%
Hunter Henry
50%
Garrett Wilson
50%
Pat Freiermuth
50%
Tyler Warren
50%
Jahmyr Gibbs
50%
Christian Watson
50%
T.J. Hockenson
50%
Kyle Pitts Sr.
50%
Tommy Tremble
50%
Chris Olave
50%
De'Von Achane
50%
Malik Washington
50%
Rhamondre Stevenson
50%
Mason Taylor
50%
Chase Brown
50%
Nico Collins
50%
Alec Pierce
50%
Tony Pollard
50%
Carnell Tate
50%
J.K. Dobbins
50%
Evan Engram
50%
Brock Bowers
50%
Ladd McConkey
50%
Charlie Kolar
50%
Saquon Barkley
50%
DeVonta Smith
50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
50%
Terry McLaurin
50%
Chig Okonkwo
50%
Rome Odunze
50%
Colston Loveland
50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
50%
MarShawn Lloyd
50%
Tucker Kraft
50%
Aaron Jones Sr.
50%
Justin Jefferson
50%
Bijan Robinson
50%
Drake London
50%
Chuba Hubbard
50%
Tetairoa McMillan
50%
Travis Etienne Jr.
50%
Juwan Johnson
50%
Bucky Irving
50%
Emeka Egbuka
50%
Cade Otton
50%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
50%
Trey McBride
50%
Kyren Williams
50%
Puka Nacua
50%
Colby Parkinson
50%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
50%
AJ Barner
50%
Malik Nabers
28%
Rashee Rice
27%
Cam Skattebo
27%
Mark Andrews
27%
Brian Thomas Jr.
27%
Tre Tucker
27%
Dalton Schultz
27%
Sam LaPorta
27%
Mike Gesicki
27%
David Montgomery
27%
CeeDee Lamb
27%
Jeremiyah Love
27%
Christian McCaffrey
27%
Mike Evans
27%
Jadarian Price
27%
Dallas Goedert 50%
Isaiah Likely 50%
D'Andre Swift 50%
George Kittle 50%
Dallas Goedert
50%
Isaiah Likely
50%
D'Andre Swift
50%
George Kittle
50%
James Cook III
50%
DJ Moore
50%
A.J. Brown
50%
Breece Hall
50%
Derrick Henry
50%
Zay Flowers
50%
Ja'Marr Chase
50%
Quinshon Judkins
50%
Jerry Jeudy
50%
Harold Fannin Jr.
50%
Jaylen Warren
50%
DK Metcalf
50%
Jonathan Taylor
50%
Bhayshul Tuten
50%
Brenton Strange
50%
Gunnar Helm
50%
Jaylen Waddle
50%
Kenneth Walker III
50%
Travis Kelce
50%
Ashton Jeanty
50%
Omarion Hampton
50%
Javonte Williams
50%
Jake Ferguson
50%
Dalton Kincaid
50%
Greg Dulcich
50%
Hunter Henry
50%
Garrett Wilson
50%
Pat Freiermuth
50%
Tyler Warren
50%
Jahmyr Gibbs
50%
Christian Watson
50%
T.J. Hockenson
50%
Kyle Pitts Sr.
50%
Tommy Tremble
50%
Chris Olave
50%
De'Von Achane
50%
Malik Washington
50%
Rhamondre Stevenson
50%
Mason Taylor
50%
Chase Brown
50%
Nico Collins
50%
Alec Pierce
50%
Tony Pollard
50%
Carnell Tate
50%
J.K. Dobbins
50%
Evan Engram
50%
Brock Bowers
50%
Ladd McConkey
50%
Charlie Kolar
50%
Saquon Barkley
50%
DeVonta Smith
50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
50%
Terry McLaurin
50%
Chig Okonkwo
50%
Rome Odunze
50%
Colston Loveland
50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
50%
MarShawn Lloyd
50%
Tucker Kraft
50%
Aaron Jones Sr.
50%
Justin Jefferson
50%
Bijan Robinson
50%
Drake London
50%
Chuba Hubbard
50%
Tetairoa McMillan
50%
Travis Etienne Jr.
50%
Juwan Johnson
50%
Bucky Irving
50%
Emeka Egbuka
50%
Cade Otton
50%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
50%
Trey McBride
50%
Kyren Williams
50%
Puka Nacua
50%
Colby Parkinson
50%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
50%
AJ Barner
50%
Malik Nabers
28%
Rashee Rice
27%
Cam Skattebo
27%
Mark Andrews
27%
Brian Thomas Jr.
27%
Tre Tucker
27%
Dalton Schultz
27%
Sam LaPorta
27%
Mike Gesicki
27%
David Montgomery
27%
CeeDee Lamb
27%
Jeremiyah Love
27%
Christian McCaffrey
27%
Mike Evans
27%
Jadarian Price
27%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for dozens of players in the 2026-27 NFL Week 1 scrimmage touchdowns market reflect broad uncertainty heading into the season opener. No single running back or wide receiver has established a clear edge through training camp usage, preseason production, or offensive scheme fit, leaving the field wide open across multiple teams. Factors such as new coordinator play-calling, backfield committees, target distribution in pass-heavy attacks, and potential weather impacts on game scripts keep the race competitive, with historical Week 1 variance and roster depth further diluting any frontrunner advantage. Trader consensus prices this as a highly unpredictable single-week outcome rather than favoring established stars.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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