Spider-Man: Brand New Day's explosive $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $869 million by late August have anchored trader sentiment around the 940-950 million band by September 30, reflecting its status as the fastest film to reach key milestones and the second-highest grosser ever after surpassing Avengers: Endgame. Strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and record August dominance have driven sustained early legs, though daily grosses have now fallen into the low millions amid theater reductions and typical superhero drop patterns. With Labor Day weekend ahead and limited major competition in early September, the market-implied odds favor a final push into that narrow range rather than a steeper fade below 940 million or an extended run above 960 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
940 - 950m 43%
<940m 29%
950 - 960m 11%
970m+ 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
29%
940 - 950m
43%
950 - 960m
11%
960 - 970m
9%
970m+
7%
940 - 950m 43%
<940m 29%
950 - 960m 11%
970m+ 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$1,405 Vol.
29%
940 - 950m
$305 Vol.
43%
950 - 960m
$383 Vol.
11%
960 - 970m
$215 Vol.
9%
970m+
$176 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's explosive $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $869 million by late August have anchored trader sentiment around the 940-950 million band by September 30, reflecting its status as the fastest film to reach key milestones and the second-highest grosser ever after surpassing Avengers: Endgame. Strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and record August dominance have driven sustained early legs, though daily grosses have now fallen into the low millions amid theater reductions and typical superhero drop patterns. With Labor Day weekend ahead and limited major competition in early September, the market-implied odds favor a final push into that narrow range rather than a steeper fade below 940 million or an extended run above 960 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,484End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's explosive $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $869 million by late August have anchored trader sentiment around the 940-950 million band by September 30, reflecting its status as the fastest film to reach key milestones and the second-highest grosser ever after surpassing Avengers: Endgame. Strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and record August dominance have driven sustained early legs, though daily grosses have now fallen into the low millions amid theater reductions and typical superhero drop patterns. With Labor Day weekend ahead and limited major competition in early September, the market-implied odds favor a final push into that narrow range rather than a steeper fade below 940 million or an extended run above 960 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,484End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's explosive $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $869 million by late August have anchored trader sentiment around the 940-950 million band by September 30, reflecting its status as the fastest film to reach key milestones and the second-highest grosser ever after surpassing Avengers: Endgame. Strong word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and record August dominance have driven sustained early legs, though daily grosses have now fallen into the low millions amid theater reductions and typical superhero drop patterns. With Labor Day weekend ahead and limited major competition in early September, the market-implied odds favor a final push into that narrow range rather than a steeper fade below 940 million or an extended run above 960 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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