**The Dog Stars** opened in U.S. theaters on August 28, 2026, amid sharply revised expectations. Soft Thursday previews of roughly $850K, well below prior forecasts, combined with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes around 38-40%) and limited marketing push from 20th Century Studios, have driven trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening. The post-apocalyptic thriller, directed by Ridley Scott and starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, faces stiff competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day plus same-week releases like Coyote vs. Acme in a late-summer window that traditionally favors stronger titles. Earlier tracking of $18–23 million eroded quickly amid presale weakness and genre fatigue. A realistic upset above $8 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth from Elordi’s fanbase or audience scores far exceeding critics, though current indicators point to muted performance through the weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 97.4%
8-9m 2.1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
97%
8-9m
2%
9-10m
<1%
10-11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
<8m 97.4%
8-9m 2.1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
$23,686 Vol.
97%
8-9m
$3,998 Vol.
2%
9-10m
$4,072 Vol.
<1%
10-11m
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$371 Vol.
<1%
12m+
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Dog Stars** opened in U.S. theaters on August 28, 2026, amid sharply revised expectations. Soft Thursday previews of roughly $850K, well below prior forecasts, combined with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes around 38-40%) and limited marketing push from 20th Century Studios, have driven trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening. The post-apocalyptic thriller, directed by Ridley Scott and starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, faces stiff competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day plus same-week releases like Coyote vs. Acme in a late-summer window that traditionally favors stronger titles. Earlier tracking of $18–23 million eroded quickly amid presale weakness and genre fatigue. A realistic upset above $8 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth from Elordi’s fanbase or audience scores far exceeding critics, though current indicators point to muted performance through the weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$34,051End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Dog Stars** opened in U.S. theaters on August 28, 2026, amid sharply revised expectations. Soft Thursday previews of roughly $850K, well below prior forecasts, combined with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes around 38-40%) and limited marketing push from 20th Century Studios, have driven trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening. The post-apocalyptic thriller, directed by Ridley Scott and starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, faces stiff competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day plus same-week releases like Coyote vs. Acme in a late-summer window that traditionally favors stronger titles. Earlier tracking of $18–23 million eroded quickly amid presale weakness and genre fatigue. A realistic upset above $8 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth from Elordi’s fanbase or audience scores far exceeding critics, though current indicators point to muted performance through the weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$34,051End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Dog Stars** opened in U.S. theaters on August 28, 2026, amid sharply revised expectations. Soft Thursday previews of roughly $850K, well below prior forecasts, combined with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes around 38-40%) and limited marketing push from 20th Century Studios, have driven trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening. The post-apocalyptic thriller, directed by Ridley Scott and starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, faces stiff competition from holdover Spider-Man: Brand New Day plus same-week releases like Coyote vs. Acme in a late-summer window that traditionally favors stronger titles. Earlier tracking of $18–23 million eroded quickly amid presale weakness and genre fatigue. A realistic upset above $8 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth from Elordi’s fanbase or audience scores far exceeding critics, though current indicators point to muted performance through the weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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