Poor Thursday previews of just $850,000 and a dismal 36-40% Rotten Tomatoes score have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for The Dog Stars. Ridley Scott’s contemplative post-apocalyptic drama, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, has seen long-range forecasts slashed from the $18–23 million range to $10–14 million amid limited presales, competition from Coyote vs. Acme, and a dominant Spider-Man holdover. Post-apocalyptic fatigue and mixed reviews highlighting listless pacing further suppress momentum for the $70 million 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8–10 million band would require exceptionally strong audience word-of-mouth and exit polls that override critical consensus in the final days of summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 97.2%
8-9m 2.6%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,935 Vol.
$34,935 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
97%
8-9m
3%
9-10m
1%
10-11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
<8m 97.2%
8-9m 2.6%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,935 Vol.
$34,935 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
$23,790 Vol.
97%
8-9m
$4,773 Vol.
3%
9-10m
$4,077 Vol.
1%
10-11m
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$371 Vol.
<1%
12m+
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor Thursday previews of just $850,000 and a dismal 36-40% Rotten Tomatoes score have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for The Dog Stars. Ridley Scott’s contemplative post-apocalyptic drama, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, has seen long-range forecasts slashed from the $18–23 million range to $10–14 million amid limited presales, competition from Coyote vs. Acme, and a dominant Spider-Man holdover. Post-apocalyptic fatigue and mixed reviews highlighting listless pacing further suppress momentum for the $70 million 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8–10 million band would require exceptionally strong audience word-of-mouth and exit polls that override critical consensus in the final days of summer.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$34,935End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor Thursday previews of just $850,000 and a dismal 36-40% Rotten Tomatoes score have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for The Dog Stars. Ridley Scott’s contemplative post-apocalyptic drama, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, has seen long-range forecasts slashed from the $18–23 million range to $10–14 million amid limited presales, competition from Coyote vs. Acme, and a dominant Spider-Man holdover. Post-apocalyptic fatigue and mixed reviews highlighting listless pacing further suppress momentum for the $70 million 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8–10 million band would require exceptionally strong audience word-of-mouth and exit polls that override critical consensus in the final days of summer.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$34,935End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Poor Thursday previews of just $850,000 and a dismal 36-40% Rotten Tomatoes score have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for The Dog Stars. Ridley Scott’s contemplative post-apocalyptic drama, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, has seen long-range forecasts slashed from the $18–23 million range to $10–14 million amid limited presales, competition from Coyote vs. Acme, and a dominant Spider-Man holdover. Post-apocalyptic fatigue and mixed reviews highlighting listless pacing further suppress momentum for the $70 million 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8–10 million band would require exceptionally strong audience word-of-mouth and exit polls that override critical consensus in the final days of summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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