Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Venezuela’s de facto leadership by the end of 2026 due to sustained U.S. backing following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture, which installed her as acting president with institutional continuity through the National Assembly and Supreme Tribunal. Recent oil sector reforms, sanctions relief, and production gains under frameworks overseen by U.S. officials have reinforced her governance amid economic stabilization efforts. Ongoing dialogue with opposition figures like Dinorah Figuera has proceeded without triggering immediate elections, while internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello remain sidelined. Challenges could still emerge from intensified opposition negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy priorities, or unresolved constitutional questions around her interim mandate extending into late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Dinorah Figuera <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$373,538 Vol.
$373,538 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
91%
María Corina Machado
4%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Dinorah Figuera <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$373,538 Vol.
$373,538 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$90,701 Vol.
91%
María Corina Machado
$52,877 Vol.
4%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,243 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,954 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,156 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,786 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,098 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$6,111 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,684 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Venezuela’s de facto leadership by the end of 2026 due to sustained U.S. backing following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture, which installed her as acting president with institutional continuity through the National Assembly and Supreme Tribunal. Recent oil sector reforms, sanctions relief, and production gains under frameworks overseen by U.S. officials have reinforced her governance amid economic stabilization efforts. Ongoing dialogue with opposition figures like Dinorah Figuera has proceeded without triggering immediate elections, while internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello remain sidelined. Challenges could still emerge from intensified opposition negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy priorities, or unresolved constitutional questions around her interim mandate extending into late 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$373,538End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Venezuela’s de facto leadership by the end of 2026 due to sustained U.S. backing following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture, which installed her as acting president with institutional continuity through the National Assembly and Supreme Tribunal. Recent oil sector reforms, sanctions relief, and production gains under frameworks overseen by U.S. officials have reinforced her governance amid economic stabilization efforts. Ongoing dialogue with opposition figures like Dinorah Figuera has proceeded without triggering immediate elections, while internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello remain sidelined. Challenges could still emerge from intensified opposition negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy priorities, or unresolved constitutional questions around her interim mandate extending into late 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$373,538End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Venezuela’s de facto leadership by the end of 2026 due to sustained U.S. backing following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture, which installed her as acting president with institutional continuity through the National Assembly and Supreme Tribunal. Recent oil sector reforms, sanctions relief, and production gains under frameworks overseen by U.S. officials have reinforced her governance amid economic stabilization efforts. Ongoing dialogue with opposition figures like Dinorah Figuera has proceeded without triggering immediate elections, while internal rivals such as Diosdado Cabello remain sidelined. Challenges could still emerge from intensified opposition negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy priorities, or unresolved constitutional questions around her interim mandate extending into late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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