Skip to main content
icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

The Whisper Man (2026) 83%

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 11%

Facing El Chapo 5%

Don't Say Good Luck <1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Whisper Man (2026) 83%

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 11%

Facing El Chapo 5%

Don't Say Good Luck <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Whisper Man (2026)

The Whisper Man (2026)

$3,036 Vol.

83%

icon for Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

$537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

$641 Vol.

12%

icon for Facing El Chapo

Facing El Chapo

$1,412 Vol.

5%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$785 Vol.

<1%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$235 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s dominant 81% market-implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix spot this week stems from its August 28 premiere as a high-profile original thriller starring Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan, produced by the Russo brothers’ AGBO banner and adapted from Alex North’s bestseller. Fresh releases with this level of cast and marketing typically surge in viewing hours within the first 48 hours, outpacing holdovers despite mixed early critic scores around 42% on Rotten Tomatoes. Competing titles like the newly arrived Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look (already at #1 with 10.5% odds) and Facing El Chapo (at 9%) lack comparable star-driven momentum or broad thriller appeal, while older entries such as Don’t Say Good Luck and Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young sit lower in current tracking. Traders appear to be pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where a buzzy weekend debut claims the runner-up position behind a non-fiction or event-driven leader.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,647
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s dominant 81% market-implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix spot this week stems from its August 28 premiere as a high-profile original thriller starring Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan, produced by the Russo brothers’ AGBO banner and adapted from Alex North’s bestseller. Fresh releases with this level of cast and marketing typically surge in viewing hours within the first 48 hours, outpacing holdovers despite mixed early critic scores around 42% on Rotten Tomatoes. Competing titles like the newly arrived Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look (already at #1 with 10.5% odds) and Facing El Chapo (at 9%) lack comparable star-driven momentum or broad thriller appeal, while older entries such as Don’t Say Good Luck and Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young sit lower in current tracking. Traders appear to be pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where a buzzy weekend debut claims the runner-up position behind a non-fiction or event-driven leader.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,647
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

65%
icon for Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

91%
icon for Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

93%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 83%, followed by "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.