Ongoing diplomatic contact between the Trump administration and Moscow remains limited to phone calls, including a July 2026 discussion on Ukraine, with no in-person summit scheduled despite Putin’s standing invitation to Moscow and repeated references to the unresolved “Anchorage understandings” from the 2025 Alaska meeting. The Ukraine war’s battlefield stalemate, shifting U.S. positions after G7 and NATO gatherings, and Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict have slowed bilateral momentum, keeping the probability of any 2026 meeting near even with a possible neutral-site alternative in China. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for separation, as procedural barriers, territorial disputes, and competing priorities continue to constrain face-to-face diplomacy through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 48%
China 48%
Russia 1.7%
Switzerland <1%
$735,606 Vol.
$735,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
48%
China
48%
Russia
2%
Switzerland
1%
Turkey
1%
United States
<1%
Other
<1%
Finland
<1%
Gulf country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 48%
China 48%
Russia 1.7%
Switzerland <1%
$735,606 Vol.
$735,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$139,319 Vol.
48%
China
$93,082 Vol.
48%
Russia
$82,002 Vol.
2%
Switzerland
$39,228 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$33,597 Vol.
1%
United States
$40,773 Vol.
<1%
Other
$26,753 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$35,669 Vol.
<1%
Gulf country
$26,151 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$33,400 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$32,277 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$24,845 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$44,393 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$44,620 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$39,496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic contact between the Trump administration and Moscow remains limited to phone calls, including a July 2026 discussion on Ukraine, with no in-person summit scheduled despite Putin’s standing invitation to Moscow and repeated references to the unresolved “Anchorage understandings” from the 2025 Alaska meeting. The Ukraine war’s battlefield stalemate, shifting U.S. positions after G7 and NATO gatherings, and Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict have slowed bilateral momentum, keeping the probability of any 2026 meeting near even with a possible neutral-site alternative in China. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for separation, as procedural barriers, territorial disputes, and competing priorities continue to constrain face-to-face diplomacy through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$735,606End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic contact between the Trump administration and Moscow remains limited to phone calls, including a July 2026 discussion on Ukraine, with no in-person summit scheduled despite Putin’s standing invitation to Moscow and repeated references to the unresolved “Anchorage understandings” from the 2025 Alaska meeting. The Ukraine war’s battlefield stalemate, shifting U.S. positions after G7 and NATO gatherings, and Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict have slowed bilateral momentum, keeping the probability of any 2026 meeting near even with a possible neutral-site alternative in China. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for separation, as procedural barriers, territorial disputes, and competing priorities continue to constrain face-to-face diplomacy through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$735,606End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing diplomatic contact between the Trump administration and Moscow remains limited to phone calls, including a July 2026 discussion on Ukraine, with no in-person summit scheduled despite Putin’s standing invitation to Moscow and repeated references to the unresolved “Anchorage understandings” from the 2025 Alaska meeting. The Ukraine war’s battlefield stalemate, shifting U.S. positions after G7 and NATO gatherings, and Washington’s focus on the Iran conflict have slowed bilateral momentum, keeping the probability of any 2026 meeting near even with a possible neutral-site alternative in China. Traders see limited near-term catalysts for separation, as procedural barriers, territorial disputes, and competing priorities continue to constrain face-to-face diplomacy through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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