The Knesset’s completion of its full four-year term, followed by formal dissolution on July 17, locked in the October 27, 2026, election date under Israel’s Basic Law: The Knesset. Coalition leaders explicitly rejected earlier proposals to advance or alter the schedule, confirming the vote would occur as originally set—the first such full-term election since 1988. Ongoing preparations, including party primaries, a September 9 candidate-list deadline, and overseas voting from October 20, reflect institutional commitment to the timeline with no subsequent legislative moves or crises triggering postponement authority (which requires an 80-MK supermajority). Trader pricing at 92.9% for “Yes” aligns with this stable procedural path and absence of credible disruption signals in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated93% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
93% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset’s completion of its full four-year term, followed by formal dissolution on July 17, locked in the October 27, 2026, election date under Israel’s Basic Law: The Knesset. Coalition leaders explicitly rejected earlier proposals to advance or alter the schedule, confirming the vote would occur as originally set—the first such full-term election since 1988. Ongoing preparations, including party primaries, a September 9 candidate-list deadline, and overseas voting from October 20, reflect institutional commitment to the timeline with no subsequent legislative moves or crises triggering postponement authority (which requires an 80-MK supermajority). Trader pricing at 92.9% for “Yes” aligns with this stable procedural path and absence of credible disruption signals in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$4,141End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset’s completion of its full four-year term, followed by formal dissolution on July 17, locked in the October 27, 2026, election date under Israel’s Basic Law: The Knesset. Coalition leaders explicitly rejected earlier proposals to advance or alter the schedule, confirming the vote would occur as originally set—the first such full-term election since 1988. Ongoing preparations, including party primaries, a September 9 candidate-list deadline, and overseas voting from October 20, reflect institutional commitment to the timeline with no subsequent legislative moves or crises triggering postponement authority (which requires an 80-MK supermajority). Trader pricing at 92.9% for “Yes” aligns with this stable procedural path and absence of credible disruption signals in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,141End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Knesset’s completion of its full four-year term, followed by formal dissolution on July 17, locked in the October 27, 2026, election date under Israel’s Basic Law: The Knesset. Coalition leaders explicitly rejected earlier proposals to advance or alter the schedule, confirming the vote would occur as originally set—the first such full-term election since 1988. Ongoing preparations, including party primaries, a September 9 candidate-list deadline, and overseas voting from October 20, reflect institutional commitment to the timeline with no subsequent legislative moves or crises triggering postponement authority (which requires an 80-MK supermajority). Trader pricing at 92.9% for “Yes” aligns with this stable procedural path and absence of credible disruption signals in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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