Recent EIA data show the Strategic Petroleum Reserve declining steadily to 289.7 million barrels for the week ended August 21, driven by ongoing emergency releases that have accelerated the drawdown from levels above 400 million barrels a year earlier. Commercial crude inventories, by contrast, edged higher by 0.1 million barrels to 428.9 million, remaining near the five-year seasonal average amid steady 13.8 million barrel-per-day domestic production, refinery utilization near 97 percent, and mixed import-export flows. Trader sentiment on whether reserves hit specific lower thresholds by late August hinges primarily on the pace of SPR sales versus any offsetting commercial builds or shifts in global supply dynamics ahead of the next weekly release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$67,690 Vol.
285M
40%
270M
<1%
255M
1%
240M
1%
225M
<1%
$67,690 Vol.
285M
40%
270M
<1%
255M
1%
240M
1%
225M
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent EIA data show the Strategic Petroleum Reserve declining steadily to 289.7 million barrels for the week ended August 21, driven by ongoing emergency releases that have accelerated the drawdown from levels above 400 million barrels a year earlier. Commercial crude inventories, by contrast, edged higher by 0.1 million barrels to 428.9 million, remaining near the five-year seasonal average amid steady 13.8 million barrel-per-day domestic production, refinery utilization near 97 percent, and mixed import-export flows. Trader sentiment on whether reserves hit specific lower thresholds by late August hinges primarily on the pace of SPR sales versus any offsetting commercial builds or shifts in global supply dynamics ahead of the next weekly release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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