Gold prices around $4,378 per ounce reflect consolidation following the Federal Reserve’s September 15-16 decision to raise the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent amid sticky core PCE near 3.4 percent and resilient labor data. Trader positioning for the week of September 21 centers on follow-through communications from FOMC participants, ECB and Bank of Canada speeches, and any shifts in real-yield or dollar expectations that could alter safe-haven demand. Persistent central-bank purchases continue to anchor a floor, while elevated Treasury yields and a firmer USD exert tactical pressure; upcoming data such as Richmond Fed and regional PMI releases may provide incremental signals on growth and inflation trajectories that influence near-term implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 25, 2026
↑ $4,700
50%
↑ $4,650
50%
↑ $4,600
50%
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4,500
50%
↑ $4,450
63%
↑ $4,400
75%
↓ $4,350
75%
↓ $4,300
64%
↓ $4,250
56%
↓ $4,200
33%
↓ $4,150
38%
↓ $4,100
37%
↓ $4,050
50%
$15 Vol.
↑ $4,700
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,650
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,600
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,550
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,500
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,450
$10 Vol.
63%
↑ $4,400
$0 Vol.
75%
↓ $4,350
$0 Vol.
75%
↓ $4,300
$1 Vol.
64%
↓ $4,250
$4 Vol.
56%
↓ $4,200
$0 Vol.
33%
↓ $4,150
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ $4,100
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ $4,050
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices around $4,378 per ounce reflect consolidation following the Federal Reserve’s September 15-16 decision to raise the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent amid sticky core PCE near 3.4 percent and resilient labor data. Trader positioning for the week of September 21 centers on follow-through communications from FOMC participants, ECB and Bank of Canada speeches, and any shifts in real-yield or dollar expectations that could alter safe-haven demand. Persistent central-bank purchases continue to anchor a floor, while elevated Treasury yields and a firmer USD exert tactical pressure; upcoming data such as Richmond Fed and regional PMI releases may provide incremental signals on growth and inflation trajectories that influence near-term implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices around $4,378 per ounce reflect consolidation following the Federal Reserve’s September 15-16 decision to raise the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent amid sticky core PCE near 3.4 percent and resilient labor data. Trader positioning for the week of September 21 centers on follow-through communications from FOMC participants, ECB and Bank of Canada speeches, and any shifts in real-yield or dollar expectations that could alter safe-haven demand. Persistent central-bank purchases continue to anchor a floor, while elevated Treasury yields and a firmer USD exert tactical pressure; upcoming data such as Richmond Fed and regional PMI releases may provide incremental signals on growth and inflation trajectories that influence near-term implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices around $4,378 per ounce reflect consolidation following the Federal Reserve’s September 15-16 decision to raise the target range to 3.75-4.00 percent amid sticky core PCE near 3.4 percent and resilient labor data. Trader positioning for the week of September 21 centers on follow-through communications from FOMC participants, ECB and Bank of Canada speeches, and any shifts in real-yield or dollar expectations that could alter safe-haven demand. Persistent central-bank purchases continue to anchor a floor, while elevated Treasury yields and a firmer USD exert tactical pressure; upcoming data such as Richmond Fed and regional PMI releases may provide incremental signals on growth and inflation trajectories that influence near-term implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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