DeepSeek's strong positioning for second place in OpenRouter token share for the week of September 7 stems from its V4 model family's sustained dominance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads, reinforced by the September 10 launch of the low-cost V4.1 Flash variant that further undercuts rivals on price while adding multimodal capabilities. Chinese open-weight labs overall have captured the majority of routed traffic through competitive performance at fractions of U.S. pricing, with DeepSeek's multiple variants already accounting for over 25% of tracked tokens in early September data. Trader consensus at 71% implied probability reflects this momentum, though fragmentation among Tencent's Hy4, Z.ai's GLM 5.3, OpenAI's GPT-5.6, and Xiaomi's MiMo creates volatility around exact weekly rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 30.2%
Meta 19.1%
Google 3.1%

DeepSeek
71%

OpenAI
30%

Meta
19%

3%

Z.ai
3%

Tencent
3%

Nvidia
3%

Qwen
2%

Anthropic
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

xAI
<1%
DeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 30.2%
Meta 19.1%
Google 3.1%

DeepSeek
71%

OpenAI
30%

Meta
19%

3%

Z.ai
3%

Tencent
3%

Nvidia
3%

Qwen
2%

Anthropic
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

xAI
<1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek's strong positioning for second place in OpenRouter token share for the week of September 7 stems from its V4 model family's sustained dominance in high-volume agentic and coding workloads, reinforced by the September 10 launch of the low-cost V4.1 Flash variant that further undercuts rivals on price while adding multimodal capabilities. Chinese open-weight labs overall have captured the majority of routed traffic through competitive performance at fractions of U.S. pricing, with DeepSeek's multiple variants already accounting for over 25% of tracked tokens in early September data. Trader consensus at 71% implied probability reflects this momentum, though fragmentation among Tencent's Hy4, Z.ai's GLM 5.3, OpenAI's GPT-5.6, and Xiaomi's MiMo creates volatility around exact weekly rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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