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Politics·Main Election

Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Alia Hyacinth Iormem 56%

Michael Aondoakaa 32%

Titus Tamango Belamo 4.8%

Sebastine Hon 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Alia Hyacinth Iormem 56%

Michael Aondoakaa 32%

Titus Tamango Belamo 4.8%

Sebastine Hon 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Alia Hyacinth Iormem

Alia Hyacinth Iormem

$3,468 Vol.

56%

icon for Michael Aondoakaa

Michael Aondoakaa

$270 Vol.

32%

icon for Titus Tamango Belamo

Titus Tamango Belamo

$162 Vol.

5%

icon for Sebastine Hon

Sebastine Hon

$141 Vol.

3%

icon for Ochigbo Mathew Sunday

Ochigbo Mathew Sunday

$160 Vol.

2%

icon for Hembe Herman Iorwase C.

Hembe Herman Iorwase C.

$1,232 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Alia’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured hundreds of thousands of votes against rivals including Sam Ode and others, has anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the 2027 Benue contest.** As incumbent, he benefits from party machinery, recent endorsements during statewide tours, and emphasis on infrastructure, salary payments, and security coordination with federal forces. Opposition remains fragmented: PDP faces factional disputes with Michael Aondoakaa as a leading nominee, while lower-polling figures such as Herman Hembe (ADC) and Sebastine Hon (SDP) lack comparable statewide structures. Internal APC tensions with figures like George Akume and localized criticism over insecurity have not displaced Alia’s primary mandate or grassroots mobilization. The market’s pricing reflects these structural advantages for the APC standard-bearer ahead of general election balloting.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,433
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Alia’s decisive victory in the August 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured hundreds of thousands of votes against rivals including Sam Ode and others, has anchored trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the 2027 Benue contest.** As incumbent, he benefits from party machinery, recent endorsements during statewide tours, and emphasis on infrastructure, salary payments, and security coordination with federal forces. Opposition remains fragmented: PDP faces factional disputes with Michael Aondoakaa as a leading nominee, while lower-polling figures such as Herman Hembe (ADC) and Sebastine Hon (SDP) lack comparable statewide structures. Internal APC tensions with figures like George Akume and localized criticism over insecurity have not displaced Alia’s primary mandate or grassroots mobilization. The market’s pricing reflects these structural advantages for the APC standard-bearer ahead of general election balloting.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,433
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alia Hyacinth Iormem" at 56%, followed by "Michael Aondoakaa" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Alia Hyacinth Iormem" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Aondoakaa" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.