Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

Monique Taylor 63%

Jeff Beattie 35%

Heino Doessing 6%

Heather Curnew <1%

$33,822 Vol.

Sep 3, 2026

Monique Taylor

$11,431 Vol.

63%

Jeff Beattie

$2,004 Vol.

35%

Heino Doessing

$18,624 Vol.

Heather Curnew

$538 Vol.

<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka

$636 Vol.

<1%

Pascale Marchand

$588 Vol.

<1%

Monique Taylor 63%

Jeff Beattie 35%

Heino Doessing 6%

Heather Curnew <1%

$33,822 Vol.

Sep 3, 2026

Monique Taylor

$11,431 Vol.

63%

Jeff Beattie

$2,004 Vol.

35%

Heino Doessing

$18,624 Vol.

Heather Curnew

$538 Vol.

<1%

Wieslawa Derlatka

$636 Vol.

<1%

Pascale Marchand

$588 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?

98%

Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?

51%

Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?

100%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Monique Taylor" at 63%, followed by "Jeff Beattie" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" has generated $33.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" is "Monique Taylor" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Beattie" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $33.8K traded on “Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 63¢ for "Monique Taylor" in the "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 63% chance that "Monique Taylor" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 63¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 37¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Sep 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" prediction market?

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What does a price of 63¢ for "Monique Taylor" mean?

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