California's Proposition 37 would authorize up to $25 billion in self-repaying revenue bonds through the California Housing Finance Agency to provide second mortgages covering up to 17 percent of the purchase price for qualified new homes. Eligible buyers must be state residents for at least one year, occupy the property as their primary residence, earn no more than 200 percent of area median income, and contribute at least 3 percent down. The measure qualified for the November 2026 ballot after collecting far more than the required signatures, amid ongoing high home prices and down-payment barriers for middle-income households. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced around 54 percent for passage because the program targets a broad income range with no direct taxpayer repayment obligation, yet faces competition from the separate Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the same ballot, general caution toward large bond authorizations, and a crowded field of 14 propositions. Recent legislative housing negotiations and statements from sponsors have kept attention on supply incentives versus voter priorities on affordability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's Proposition 37 would authorize up to $25 billion in self-repaying revenue bonds through the California Housing Finance Agency to provide second mortgages covering up to 17 percent of the purchase price for qualified new homes. Eligible buyers must be state residents for at least one year, occupy the property as their primary residence, earn no more than 200 percent of area median income, and contribute at least 3 percent down. The measure qualified for the November 2026 ballot after collecting far more than the required signatures, amid ongoing high home prices and down-payment barriers for middle-income households. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced around 54 percent for passage because the program targets a broad income range with no direct taxpayer repayment obligation, yet faces competition from the separate Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the same ballot, general caution toward large bond authorizations, and a crowded field of 14 propositions. Recent legislative housing negotiations and statements from sponsors have kept attention on supply incentives versus voter priorities on affordability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions