**Proposition 5**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot, would eliminate the successor contest in state officer recall elections, converting them to a simple yes-or-no vote while filling vacancies through existing succession rules or special elections and permitting recalled officials to seek the seat again. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 56.5% reflects the measure’s mixed institutional backing—endorsed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber, the League of Women Voters, and California Common Cause, yet opposed by Election Integrity Project California—combined with an unusually high volume of recall activity in 2026, including data-center disputes and contentious local outcomes such as the Avenal city council case resolved by court order in August. These factors appear to sustain sentiment that voters may favor preserving the current dual-question process on a crowded ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Proposition 5**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot, would eliminate the successor contest in state officer recall elections, converting them to a simple yes-or-no vote while filling vacancies through existing succession rules or special elections and permitting recalled officials to seek the seat again. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 56.5% reflects the measure’s mixed institutional backing—endorsed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber, the League of Women Voters, and California Common Cause, yet opposed by Election Integrity Project California—combined with an unusually high volume of recall activity in 2026, including data-center disputes and contentious local outcomes such as the Avenal city council case resolved by court order in August. These factors appear to sustain sentiment that voters may favor preserving the current dual-question process on a crowded ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions